That’s not to say the Pew results should be dismissed—as Cohen acknowledges, they may be catching early signs that “opinions thought settled for a decade are now in flux.” At the very least, it’s worth keeping a closer eye on the next round of data from other sources. But until we see more, what we have is suggestive, not conclusive—and stories that don’t make that distinction are letting their readers down.

Greg Marx is a CJR staff writer. Follow him on Twitter @gregamarx.