NS: No, not really. I’d guess that we have a lot of respect for one another. At some point I should get his phone number from one of my contacts at MSNBC and say, ‘Hey, Chuck, let’s get a beer.’ But I think we have people that are implicitly—Andrew Sullivan, for example, at The Atlantic, has linked to us a ton of times. I’ve never had a conversation with him, but I think there people where it’s just kind of implicit: ‘Hey, we respect what you’re doing, we’re going to help you guys out.’ And vice versa. I think one other trend we saw this year is, to some extent, the consolidation of the blogosphere. I think you saw more traffic going to a smaller number of sites, whether it’s a Daily Kos or a FiveThirtyEight—or, on the other side of the spectrum, a site like the National Review or something like that. There are a certain number of go-to destinations for political coverage, and those sites, I think, have a lot of influence. Some of them are old, some of them are new—like us, or Talking Points Memo or something like that—but we’re seeing what I’d call the maturation of it, where it’s not just a million monkeys with a keyboard, it’s a hundred monkeys with a keyboard. And there’s kind of a selection process for who’s the most reliable in terms of timeliness and everything.
MG: Do you see that kind of consolidation as a simple meritocracy, or is it more complex than that?
NS: It’s mostly a meritocracy. Sometimes there are sites that take a while to get noticed. There’s one right-leaning site, The Next Right, which I think is terrific, though it’s not my political point of view. And they’re a site that, once people start to notice them, I think will be taken very seriously. Every now and then you catch a diamond in the rough, where you know it’s just a matter of time before people discover them. So there are a few inefficiencies at first. But I think it’s pretty meritocratic relative to other things, by and large—though maybe not perfectly so. Running a site, there may be a couple days when you have a million things going on, and you’re stressed about some real-life thing, or you’re sick, or something. But you have to maintain the quality: don’t dilute the brand.
Brand is really important in Internet media. Because there’s so much competition, and the barriers to entry are so low, all that you are, really, is your brand. And if you spread yourself too thin, then you’re making a real mistake, I think. Our model, certainly, is to cover things in depth, and not to try and do everything. Maybe we’ll try and have someone in Washington covering the White House. But if we do, we’ll want to make sure we do it really well.
Update: The popular vote breakdown listed in the introduction to this article has been amended to reflect the AP’s current numbers (as of November 12).

"Silver’s unique combination of accuracy with numbers and accessibility with narrative made FiveThirtyEight, founded in March 2008, the first blog ever to be selected as a Notable Narrative by Harvard’s Nieman Foundation."
And that distinction is well deserved!
My initial visit to his blog-site was shortly after its launch in March of this year, during the Democratic Presidential primaries, and I've never stopped going.
When the nominees were finally chosen and their Presidential campaigns really kicked off, FiveThirtyEight became THE place for me to go, nearly everyday, for in-depth and accurate polling information.
To the degree that I trust any polls or projections, Nate Silver is the man_and he's to be commended for a job well done!
Posted by Deb. J. on Wed 12 Nov 2008 at 08:47 AM
Count me among the frequent visitors to 538 during the past election season. It was really the only place which aggregated the polls in a sensible way.
With the huge increase in polling data this year, there was a lot of confusion in which ones to trust, and whose model would hold up.
What Nate did was to make all this very sensible, and for those of us with election-anxiety (and there were many!) this very rational approach was reassuring.
As a doctor, I share Nate's view that the same approach can be done with medicine and medical research reporting. Again, much public anxiety can be alleviated with reason, particularly in the area of infectious diseases and public health concerns.
Posted by dkarl on Wed 12 Nov 2008 at 11:00 AM
Nate had an amazing track record. But this article is off on the popular vote numbers. Its actually Obama 52.6, McCain 46.1.
Seems small, but George W. Bush's 50.7% was consistently rounded up to 51%, and yet Obama's is being rounded down to 52%. Its annoying (although CNN has corrected it).
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/president/
Posted by JoshA on Wed 12 Nov 2008 at 11:42 AM
@JoshA: Thanks for writing (and you make a good point about rounding). There are slight discrepancies in the popular vote count among various outlets -- partially because of Missouri's outstanding projections. Since CNN rounds its numbers, I'm curious: where are you getting the 52.6/46.1 breakdown?
For the post, I was relying on Nov. 5's popular vote count for the 52.4/46.3 breakdown...but the AP currently has its projection at 52.7 Obama to 46.0 McCain. I'm deferring to that, and have amended the post to reflect the most recent info.
Posted by Megan Garber on Wed 12 Nov 2008 at 07:01 PM
Yeah, Yeah, Yeah...Numbers, statistics, whatever. The real news is that Nate is hot! Super-geek-stud.
Posted by Joe on Wed 12 Nov 2008 at 07:07 PM