Martin Wolf of the Financial Times has an excellent blog post pointing out how wrong Germany and Co. are about how government profligacy and the welfare state are at the heart of the euro crisis. Certainly those are a big factor in Greece, but Spain’s government was a model of financial rectitude before the financial crisis began when it was running budget surpluses.
Wolf asks “What was Spain supposed to have done?”
In retrospect, the only way the Spanish authorities could have prepared themselves for the shock would have been to run fiscal surpluses of 10 per cent of GDP over the five or six years before the crisis, so generating a positive net asset position of at least 20 per cent of GDP. That might have been enough (though even that is uncertain). There is no chance whatsoever that a democracy would run such surpluses. Incidentally, Angela Merkel’s beloved fiscal compact would have unambiguously failed, since Spain was in fact thought to be running structural surpluses before the crisis, just as the compact demands…
Above all, how could Spain have prevented this crisis, which was unambiguously generated in the domestic private sector and fuelled by private sector capital inflows? If it could not have prevented the crisis, how can it bear some deep moral fault? Surely, a far more sensible - indeed moral - approach would be to recognise that this is more misfortune than misdeed and offer Spain the help it needs to adjust its economy to the post-crisis reality, without letting it either be pushed into sovereign bankruptcy or humiliated. Yet that is what is now threatened.
In my view, Spain made only one big mistake: joining the euro.
— Bloomberg’s Jonathan Weil rounds up some choice quotes from the British press on the egregious Libor scandal, which has already claimed half a billion dollars from Barclays, as well as its chairman, and will soon claim much more from other banks. Weil writes that “Hell hath no fury like a financial columnist scorned.”
Here’s Simon Jenkins in The Guardian:
“There seems no end to the immunity — moral, political, fiscal and possibly legal — claimed by the present masters of the universe, the bankers. … There must surely be a reckoning one day for loss and agony that the credit crunch has inflicted — and is still inflicting — on millions of innocent victims. But as we seek out the guilty men, we should know that as long as banking retains its stranglehold on policy, the disaster will continue.”
Yves Smith of Naked Capitalism notes that the British are much more worked up about this than we are (Barclays is British) and flags this Guardian quote:
Investment banking is an organised scam masquerading as a business. It is defined by endemic conflicts of interest, systemic amoral behaviour and extreme avarice. Many of its senior figures should be serving prison sentences or disgraced - and would have been if British regulators had been weaned off the doctrine of “light touch” regulation earlier and if the Serious Fraud Office’s budget had not been emasculated by Mr Osborne. It is a tax on wealth generation and an enemy of honest endeavour - the beast that is devouring British capitalism.
Yow.
This scandal is coming to America soon enough, I’d bet, but it’s worth reading Smith’s thoughts on the American press.
— Listen to Audit Chief Dean Starkman talk to Richard Aedy of the Australian Broadcasting Corporation about how and why the business press failed in the years leading up to the global financial crisis
Or read the transcript:
Richard Aedy: Right. So why did this happen? Why wasn’t the real digging, the taking on the powerful institutions at the time when they were behaving most egregiously, why wasn’t that happening because that’s the stuff that people get into journalism to do, surely?
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Hi Ryan:
A nice roundup of things, as usual.
One point against Spain, if I may. While it is true that Spain's national finances were perfectly fine, one reason for that is the property bubble -- Spain puts a pretty big tax on property transactions, so the real estate bubble there, in fueling a lot of flipping, also went a long way to filling the government's coffers. Which is probably one reason by bank and real estate regulations were so lax.
But I agree with your larger point: if someone borrows more than they can afford, that is a bad borrower; but if a lender habitually lends money to those who cannot repay, it is a bad lender.
Agreed, too, that there are high-ranking officials in the banking and finance industry who should be in jail. Winning in the markets is fine, but cheat is not, and there have been an awful lot of cheaters over the past decade or so.
#1 Posted by noah Body, CJR on Tue 3 Jul 2012 at 09:13 AM
Taibbi basically asks the same question about the american press as Yves:
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/blogs/taibblog/why-is-nobody-freaking-out-about-the-libor-banking-scandal-20120703
"Why is Nobody Freaking Out About the LIBOR Banking Scandal?"
And yeah, investment banking has become more of a scam than a "productive use of capital" as the emphasis of investors has become "short term greedy".
What we are seeing is the breakdown of shareholder, anglo-saxon capitalism. They aren't creating wealth, they're capturing it and - in many many occasions - outright stealing it.
#2 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Tue 3 Jul 2012 at 01:48 PM
It would be good to review this old article you posted a while back:
http://www.salon.com/2011/03/29/failure_of_shareholder_capitalism/
which makes reference to this by Martin Wolf:
http://blogs.ft.com/economistsforum/2007/12/why-the-credit-html/
"First and most important, what is happening in credit markets today is a huge blow to the credibility of the Anglo-Saxon model of transactions-orientated financial capitalism. A mixture of crony capitalism and gross incompetence has been on display in the core financial markets of New York and London. From the “ninja” (no-income, no-job, no-asset) subprime lending to the placing (and favourable rating) of assets that turn out to be almost impossible to understand, value or sell, these activities have been riddled with conflicts of interest and incompetence. In the subsequent era of “revulsion”, core financial markets have seized up."
There are other good bits to digest from behind the paywall.
#3 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Tue 3 Jul 2012 at 02:02 PM
And there was the recent propublica piece here:
http://www.propublica.org/thetrade/item/how-shareholders-are-hurting-america
And a study I stumbled upon here:
http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/has-the-growth-of-the-financial-sector-harmed-the-economy/
Which basically says that the shareholder/asset ascendant nature of anglo-saxon capitalism has empowered the managers of capital to the denigration of everyone else.
This has led to a migration of talent away from other forms of industry to the finance sector.
This has meant that the short term reward mindset of finance is not only stealing the capital away from other industries within the nation, it's stealing the minds.
Our world cannot sustainably function motivated upon the desires of the vampire class.
#4 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Tue 3 Jul 2012 at 02:14 PM
On the subject of Libor, rithholtz goes on a quote rampage:
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2012/07/the-big-losers-in-the-libor-rate-manipulation/
Snippet:
"Perhaps worst of all has been the double standard set by the federal government. In 2008 when the world’s biggest banks stumbled toward insolvency, the U.S. Treasury stepped in to inject capital through the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). TARP allowed the banks to offload or restructure their most toxic holdings, including many derivatives like interest rate swaps.
Four years later no such relief has been mobilized for cities, counties, and public agencies suffering from the toxic interest rate swaps they have been forced to hold. In its size and severity, the rate swap crisis rivals other discrete financial injustices related to the global economic meltdown of 2008. Unlike these other crises that have received enormous attention from the media and reform-minded officials, the foreclosure crisis for example, the rate swap crisis has remained hidden from public scrutiny, left to fester."
#5 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Thu 5 Jul 2012 at 12:25 PM