The Wall Street Journal takes a look at one growing American industry the Internet and the Chinese can’t wipe out: Toilet paper.
Turns out that “unlike other paper, tissue paper isn’t economical to ship from overseas because of its bulk.”
Newspapers on the other hand:
But between 2001 and 2011, U.S. annual consumption of daily-newspaper newsprint plunged 61% to 3.6 million tons and annual consumption of paper used for printing, note pads and more fell roughly 38%, according to Vertical Research Partners, which tracks the paper industry. The decline was devastating to paper producers.
But even this industry faces trouble, thanks to all the private-equity money and corporate welfare flowing its way:
Paper mills across the U.S. are trying to find a future in tissue paper. Clearwater Paper Corp., of Spokane, Wash., received $50 million in state and local incentives in North Carolina to open a $280 million tissue-making plant there last year, and will employ 250 by year’s end. Wisconsin-based Wausau Paper, founded in 1899, is spending $220 million on a tissue plant that will begin production in Kentucky in early 2013. Closely held First Quality Enterprises Inc. opened a tissue plant in Anderson, S.C., last year.
But so many tissue plants are cropping up that a possible oversupply is looming. “There is going to be a bit of a fight,” said Chip Dillon of Vertical Research.
— Bloomberg News reports that the Obama campaign is going around to $36,000-a-head Wall Street fundraisers “pledging not to demonize” Wall Street. He’ll never say “fat cats” again like he did that one time, back in 2009.
It short-arms the story a bit, but The Huffington Post picks it up and adds some good context:
The current attempt at appeasement also comes as Obama attempts to win back the donors that provided him with so much last election. Despite criticizing Wall Street during a 2007 speech at the Nasdaq stock exchange, financial industry donations to Obama outpaced Wall Street cash to his GOP rival John McCain two-to-one at certain points in that campaign, according to the New York Daily News.This time, Wall Street donors are instead favoring Republican candidates, their dollars going to the GOP by a five to one margin. And Mitt Romney, the Republican front runner and a former Wall Street man himself, is netting most of that cash, according to campaign finance data.
— Bloomberg reports that some of the investors who made fortunes betting against subprime mortgages during the bubble are now betting on them.
Hedge fund manager Kyle Bass, who made $500 million betting against subprime debt in the crash, is raising a fund to buy home loan securities. He’s joining Greg Lippmann, a former Deutsche Bank AG trader, and John Paulson, who made $15 billion in 2007, in betting on default prone mortgages. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) and American International Group Inc. (AIG) have also emerged as buyers this year as trading more than doubled for non-agency mortgage notes.
The $1.1 trillion market for U.S. mortgage bonds without government-backing is joining a global rally in everything from stocks and commodities to company loans, as confidence grows that Europe’s sovereign debt crisis will be contained. Investors are speculating the riskiest mortgage securities are priced to withstand an economic slowdown and home price declines even as President Barack Obama and the Federal Reserve pursue policies to combat the six-year residential real-estate slump.
How much are those option ARMs going for these days?
Typical prices for the most-senior bonds tied to option adjustable-rate mortgages rose to 55 cents on the dollar last week from 49 cents in November, according to Barclays Capital.
And those are the (formerly) AAA ones.
Considering the latest whistleblower reports,
http://mobile.bloomberg.com/news/2012-02-16/citigroup-whistle-blower-says-bank-s-brute-force-hid-bad-loans.html
"Four years after rotten mortgages helped trigger a global financial crisis, Sherry Hunt said her Citigroup Inc. quality-control team was still finding flaws in new loans that included altered tax forms, straw buyers and borrowers who listed fictitious employers.
Instead of reporting the defects to the Federal Housing Administration, the bank saddled the agency with losses by falsely declaring the loans fit for its federal insurance program, according to a complaint filed yesterday by the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Manhattan. Citigroup agreed to pay $158.3 million to settle the claims, and admitted that it certified loans for FHA backing that didn’t qualify.
Hunt, who filed a sealed lawsuit against New York-based Citigroup in August that the government joined, will collect $31 million of that sum -- before taxes and attorney’s fees -- as a whistle-blower, she said in an interview yesterday. The settlement, which encompassed misconduct spanning 2004 to the present, indicates Citigroup has lingering problems in its O’Fallon, Missouri-based CitiMortgage unit.
“Citigroup in particular received government funding, taxpayer dollars, because of its risky operations,” said Peter Henning, a law professor at Wayne State University in Detroit. “It shows that they hadn’t really learned much of a lesson from the financial crisis.”"
You need a large jump in loan quality and or a government guarantee for protection against losses and legal liability in order to treat this stuff as a safe investment.
Of course, this is all based on the words of a disgruntled employee who's painting the innocent practices of the guiltless banks in a bad light. The 5000 black helicopters can probably stay on the tarmac, no matter what the silly judgement was against Citigroup.
#1 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Thu 16 Feb 2012 at 01:18 PM
Most AAA-rated MBS isn't worth anything close to 50 cents on the dollar. Half that, maybe, on average.
Unless FHA et.al. will backstop it all.
If Paulson & pals are raising money to buy at today's prices they're either going to sort through very carefully for deals, or they have a play worked out that will allow them to pressure sellers such that they can get good deals exclusively, or they have inside information that there will, indeed, be a federal non-recourse backstop for this paper, either via new programs to "help the housing market" or a systematic pull-back of enforcement against FHA fraud.
Look for option 3.
#2 Posted by Edward Ericson Jr., CJR on Fri 17 Feb 2012 at 03:53 PM