David Stockman is the former Reagan budget director and private-equity executive who paid $7.2 million in 2007 to make some nasty SEC fraud charges go away.
He has now written a cockamamie gold-bug book about how we have ruined everything by having a central bank and employing Keynesian economics and that we should have let the financial system collapse in 2008, which “would have been truly constructive from a societal vantage point. It would have implanted an abiding 1930s style generational lesson about the deadly dangers of leveraged speculation.”
No surprise then that Stockman is also a brutal austerian who calls Social Security, falsely, a Ponzi scheme:
The puzzling thing is that 75 years later - with all the terrible facts fully known - the doctrinaire conviction abides on the Left that social insurance is the New Deal’s crowning achievement. In fact, it is its costliest mistake.
Stockman would just simply do away with Medicare and Medicaid and ban private health insurance and the “abomination” of deposit insurance. Oh, and then there’s his proposed one-time 30 percent wealth tax to pay off the debt.
In other words, Stockman is a crank; a guy who says, apparently with a straight face, “I invest in anything that Bernanke can’t destroy, including gold, canned beans, bottled water and flashlight batteries.”
But for some odd reason, William D. Cohan decided to write a contrarian profile of him for Bloomberg BusinessWeek that paints him as some sort of David taking on the Goliaths of economics, government, and finance.
Very little of the “oh, this guy’s a kook” signaling that you need with a subject like this makes the story. If you’re going to write about someone’s jeremiad against the Federal Reserve’s easy-money policies, for instance, you should probably mention that he’s a gold bug, which Cohan doesn’t.
Cohan could have used this quote about Stockman, which comes from fellow Reagan administration official Martin Anderson:
David Stockman was profoundly pessimistic by nature. If he were ever to write a history of American baseball, he would probably describe Ted Williams… this way: Even at the height of his career, Williams managed to get base hits only 40 percent of the time and struck out repeatedly.
Worst of all, Cohan compares Paul Krugman—you know, the guy who’s been right about almost everything since the start of the crisis—unfavorably to Stockman, a guy who ran up the first giant budget deficits in the 1980s, got rich loading companies up with debt, “personally directed fraudulent schemes to inflate C&A’s reported income by accounting improperly for supplier payments,” according to the SEC, and sent his company into bankruptcy—a guy who would send us into a massive depression and eviscerate modern society and whose overarching thesis is objectively false (emphasis mine):
Krugman, for one, says Stockman’s analysis and history couldn’t be further off base. A few weeks after their initial squabble, Krugman struck again in the New York Review of Books, where he reviewed three books about the economy, including Stockman’s. Krugman dismissed The Great Deformation in a single paragraph. “It’s an immensely long rant against excesses of various kinds, all of which, in Stockman’s vision, have culminated in our present crisis,” he wrote. “History, to Stockman’s eyes, is a series of ‘sprees’: a ‘spree of unsustainable borrowing,’ a ‘spree of interest rate repression,’ a ‘spree of destructive financial engineering,’ and, again and again, a ‘money-printing spree.’ ” In Stockman’s dyspeptic worldview, “any policies aimed at alleviating the current slump will just make things worse.”
Yet it’s Stockman, not Krugman, who seems to have made the right call that the Fed’s creative monetary policies have led to an unsustainable bubble. In the weeks after our conversation, bond and stock markets the world over started to crack, with bond prices falling precipitously and the Dow Jones industrial average falling below 15,000 for the first time in two months. On June 19, after Bernanke suggested publicly the possibility that Quantitative Easing might end next year, the stock market fell nearly 550 points during the next nine hours of trading.
Cohan and BusinessWeek should know better than this. It’s far too early to say that QEII created an “unsustainable bubble”, though I’ll bet you it didn’t.

Stockman gained some respectability by being one of the few republican economists not to play ball with the Bush Administration policy:
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=129052425
And he built some good will with some labor friendly private equity:
http://mobile.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/chatterbox/2003/09/david_stockman_workingclass_hero.html
But people forget he was the guy who invented the magic asterisk during the Reagan policies he was architect of. And people don't know he's of the same mind as Peter Schiff and prone to the same mistakes.
(Pity it appears the Atlantic has taken down "the Education of David Stockman" link)
#1 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Wed 3 Jul 2013 at 12:34 PM
Two-Minutes Hate has never been so thinly veiled as "journalism review."
Butt-hurt. Wheels-off. Fallacious. CJR.
And Ryan, nobody would ever accuse YOU of being a "crank."
Oh, wait...
#2 Posted by Dan A., CJR on Wed 3 Jul 2013 at 09:43 PM
Stockman has some views that are off-base, but you're the crank if you think he's wrong about Social Security being a Ponzi scheme. The Klein post you link to to show that SS isn't Ponzi is laughable: he admits that SS has all the hallmarks of a Ponzi scheme then ridiculously asserts that it isn't one. XD
Stockman is off on some of these issues because he applies antiquated gold-bug reasoning to a modern financial system. But at least he's grappling with these issues and finding some real faults, rather than Chittum burying his head in the sand and declaring that everything is A-OK!
#3 Posted by Ajay, CJR on Fri 5 Jul 2013 at 08:53 AM
David Stockman = Goldbug = Crank = unworthy of anything but critical treatment in the press .. or at least according to Ryan.
But tell us Ryan, if cranks make poor sources and their views are generally unfit for broadcast to a wider audience, why do you quote Dean Baker so often? Didnt he claim a few years back that a default of US debt wouldnt wouldnt be that bad because it worked out so well for Argentina?
All cranks are created equal, some more equal than others.
#4 Posted by Mike H, CJR on Mon 8 Jul 2013 at 12:11 PM
Hmph, maybe the Stockman link was dead on my iphone. It's here now:
http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/1981/12/the-education-of-david-stockman/305760/?single_page=true
Stuff like:
"Stockman thought he had taken care of embarrassing questions about future deficits with a device he referred to as the "magic asterisk." (Senator Howard Baker had dubbed it that in strategy sessions, Stockman said.) The "magic asterisk" would blithely denote all of the future deficit problems that were to be taken care of with additional budget reductions, to be announced by the President at a later date. Thus, everyone could finesse the hard questions, for now."
And
""The hard part of the supply-side tax cut is dropping the top rate from 70 to 50 percent—the rest of it is a secondary matter," Stockman explained. "The original argument was that the top bracket was too high, and that's having the most devastating effect on the economy. Then, the general argument was that, in order to make this palatable as a political matter, you had to bring down all the brackets. But, I mean, Kemp-Roth was always a Trojan horse to bring down the top rate."
... the supply-side theory was not a new economic theory at all but only new language and argument to conceal a hoary old Republican doctrine: give the tax cuts to the top brackets, the wealthiest individuals and largest enterprises, and let the good effects "trickle down" through the economy to reach everyone else."
And
"Despite the political uproar, Stockman thought a compromise would eventually emerge, because of the pressure to "save" Social Security. This would give him at least a portion of the budget savings he needed. "I still think we'll recover a good deal of ground from this. It will permit the politicians to make it look like they're doing something for the beneficiary population when they are doing something to it which they normally wouldn't have the courage to undertake.""
And
""Some of the naive supply-siders just missed this whole dimension," he said. "You don't stop inflation without some kind of dislocation. You don't stop the growth of money supply in a three-trillion-dollar economy without some kind of dislocation ... Supply-side was the wrong atmospherics—not wrong theory or wrong economics, but wrong atmospherics... The supply-siders have gone too far. They created this nonpolitical view of the economy, where you are going to have big changes and abrupt turns, and their happy vision of this world of growth and no inflation with no pain.""
There's a mindset revealed there that most conservatives have, but few voice. A mindset against people knowing, since that will just get in the way of what needs to be done. It takes 'courage' and ignorance to hurt.
And as far as deficits go:
http://news.google.com/newspapers?nid=1842&dat=19850729&id=fWceAAAAIBAJ&sjid=v8gEAAAAIBAJ&pg=3359,5944559
"the plan was to have a strategic deficit that would give you an argument for cutting back programs that weren't desired"
Hey now, aren't there deficits right now during the Great Recession? Might be just be useful to certain folks.
David never seemed to get that this was all backroom talk. You don't walk around announcing this stuff, giving the game away.
Conservatism thrives in ignorance.
Good reads, at any rate.
#5 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Tue 9 Jul 2013 at 03:25 PM
"Didnt he claim a few years back that a default of US debt wouldnt wouldnt be that bad because it worked out so well for Argentina?"
Of course you aren't going to link.
http://www.cepr.net/index.php/blogs/beat-the-press/defaulting-on-the-debt-is-not-the-end-of-the-world
http://www.cepr.net/index.php/blogs/beat-the-press/problems-of-reading-comprehension-at-zero-hedge-no-one-advocated-default
And I forget, who was the party claiming debt default isn't too bad, so much so that it's become a viable strategy for repeated
blackmailnegotiation?Either you just labeled the tea party republicans a bunch of cranks / political terrorists for trivializing and exploiting such a disastrous possibility or you only believe in the possibility being disastrous when a liberal economist says "there are worse things than default".
Which makes me wonder, what do you do which the rest of your time.
#6 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Tue 9 Jul 2013 at 03:45 PM