the kicker

Like a Record, Baby, Right Round, Round, Round…

November 10, 2008

Compare the NYT’s op-ed pages from yesterday and today, and you’ll have a case study worthy of Harvard Business School. A case study, specifically, in spin. See the following excerpts from Frank Rich’s and Bill Kristol’s columns, emphasis mine:

Rich:

Still, change may come slowly to the undying myths bequeathed to us by the Bush decade. “Don’t think for a minute that power concedes,” Obama is fond of saying. Neither does groupthink. We now keep hearing, for instance, that America is “a center-right nation” — apparently because the percentages of Americans who call themselves conservative (34), moderate (44) and liberal (22) remain virtually unchanged from four years ago. But if we’ve learned anything this year, surely it’s that labels are overrated. Those same polls find that more and more self-described conservatives no longer consider themselves Republicans. Americans now say they favor government doing more (51 percent), not less (43) — an 11-point swing since 2004 — and they still overwhelmingly reject the Iraq war. That’s a centrist country tilting center-left, and that’s the majority who voted for Obama.

Kristol:

What’s more, this year’s exit polls suggested a partisan shift but no ideological realignment. In 2008, self-described Democrats made up 39 percent of the electorate and Republicans 32 percent, in contrast with a 37-37 split in 2004.



But there was virtually no change in the voters’ ideological self-identification: in 2008, 22 percent called themselves liberal, up only marginally from 21 percent in 2004; 34 percent were conservative, unchanged from the last election; and 44 percent called themselves moderate, compared with 45 percent in 2004.



In other words, this was a good Democratic year, but it is still a center-right country.

Same exit polls, wildly different conclusions. (The claim that we’re a center-right country is just a myth! Wait–just kidding! The claim that we’re a center-right country is an empirical truth!)

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Well done, guys. Nicely spun.

Megan Garber is an assistant editor at the Nieman Journalism Lab at Harvard University. She was formerly a CJR staff writer.