Marc Ambinder offered this “thought” at around 8:30 this morning:
In order of likelihood:
1. Obama wins the popular vote and electoral vote, either by large or small margins
2. McCain wins the electoral vote and loses the popular vote.
3. McCain wins the popular vote and the electoral vote.I won’t assign probabilities to them; I’m enough of a believer in the non-linear effects of improbable events to keep an open mind.
Now, I like Ambinder’s blog. But this is the most obvious regurgitation of every single possibility of what could happen tonight, gussied up with a list and a verbose conclusion. Words disguised as thought.


McCain wins KY, and Obama wins VT.
That gives McCain his first lead since the heady post-St. Paul days. So it seems The Mac is back!
Will the momentu-cratic press take note?
Posted by Clint Hendler on Tue 4 Nov 2008 at 07:03 PM