Because Dave, Parker Pope, and I take different approaches to the problem, the evidence we consider meaningful—and, of course, not all of it is, and perhaps not even most of it—is naturally different as well. Parker Pope argues that obesity is intractable based on common sense and some small, very well controlled studies (a fundamental requirement of good science). She concludes that that once we get obese, we’re pretty much stuck and public health advice and discussion should reflect that. She is implicitly challenging the kind of anecdotal accounts evoked by Dave himself (“most of us know people—friends, family members, colleagues—who have lost weight and kept it off for years by changing the way they eat and boosting their physical activity”) to make the argument that all it takes to be significantly less obese and stay that way is the right kind of behavioral modification and, well, maybe sufficient will power as well.
I agree with Parker Pope’s assessment about the intractability of obesity, but I argue that this is a product not so much of how the human body responds to weight loss but how it responds to the methods used to achieve that weight loss. I argued in my New York Times Magazine article that the old advice not to eat carbohydrates (refined grains and sugars, in particular) may have been the right advice and that these carbohydrates might be the fundamental causes of obesity.
If this is true, then the reason why obesity appears to be so intractable is that we are using the wrong means to cure and prevent it. In other words, if it’s not caused merely by eating too much and exercising too little, then it’s no surprise that it is resistant to behavioral modification aimed at eating less and, as Dave says, boosting physical activity. I recently co-founded a non-profit, the Nutrition Science Initiative, with support from the Laura and John Arnold Foundation, to facilitate and fund well-controlled experiments that should be able to establish reliably which of these causal hypotheses of obesity is correct.
As for Dave, he challenges the intractability argument itself. By doing so, he can argue that behavioral modification for obesity works, provided it’s done correctly, which is the new twist that he is bringing to the subject.
In a follow-up post on CJR’s website, “Playing the study game,” Dave defends his position that obesity is not an intractable condition by referencing five studies that he says “come up with positive long-term weight-loss results.” In doing so, he provides the case study for lesson number two in reporting on health and medicine. This one should also engender a consensus, again at least in theory if not in practice: always read the articles before writing about them and committing anything to press. (And acknowledge, as Dave does, that other articles could easily have been cited making orthogonal points.)
It’s also a lesson in the ambiguity of evidence that may be unique to medical research. Doing rigorously well-controlled experiments is exceedingly expensive when humans are the subjects, and the ethical challenges are enormous as well. But they are what is necessary to establish reliable knowledge. Unfortunately, many medical researchers and journalists have come to rely on lesser evidence of the kind Dave references, and it’s simply not good enough.
Dave’s first reference is about the National Weight Control Registry (NWCR). This is a database of 10,000 individuals who have lost at least 30 pounds and then maintained that loss for more than a year. If I did that, at 6’2” and 240, my maximum weight, it would drop my BMI from 30.8, mildly obese, to 27 in the mid range overweight.) The NWCR reports that its members have lost an average of 33 kilograms and maintained that weight loss for more than five years.

ALL journalists who presume to "cover" obesity would be well-served to read Abigail Saguy's excellent book: http://newsroom.ucla.edu/portal/ucla/in-a-new-book-ucla-sociologist-241999.aspx
#1 Posted by Harry Minot, CJR on Tue 5 Feb 2013 at 01:10 PM
Great piece, even if it was dissatisfaction with my piece that inspired it.
To the charge that I was kind of a jerk in criticizing the work of my friend Gary Taubes in an article that he helped send my way, I plead guilty.
In all this thoughtful analysis of the conflicting claims regarding the obesity crisis, science journalists might feel worse off than before in trying to help readers find a path to obtaining and maintaining a healthy weight. Consider this approach: Tell your readers to ignore everything that you and other science journalists and scientists tell them about the subject. Instead, advise your readers to do this: First, seek out people who have lost weight and kept it off for years. Next, ask them how they did it. If you can't find any such people, Parker-Pope is probably right. If you find some and they tell you all they did was cut out carbs and the weight just came off and stayed off and they're happy eating this way the rest of their lives, then Gary is probably right. If you find some and they tell you they changed their lifestyles in a number of ways, and now eat a sensible, balanced diet that they carefully track and get moderate daily exercise and enlist the support of friends, family and fellow weightlosers, then I'm probably right.
#2 Posted by David H. Freedman, CJR on Tue 5 Feb 2013 at 04:11 PM
Taubes' letter is a great discussion of the problem.
It's unclear to me why anyone might think that only one of you (3) can be correct. The problem clearly IS intractable at a societal scale. But that doesn't mean there can never be solutions. Nor should we judge the difficulty of the problem on the basis of the success or failure of a handful of individuals. It's my opinion (a fourth?) that what's brought this on is not profound changes in the character of individuals. We didn't all become gluttonous sloths in 30 years any more than we all suddenly experienced genetic mutations that made us fat.
The difference between now and 1970 is apparently environmental--changes in what we eat, how we eat, how we get to work, and so on. It's almost certain that a combination of changes has got us here and that some fraction of the problem is epigenetic and some fraction is the result of families working two jobs and no one having time to shop and cook, and so on (again).
Also, I would like to add that if a person is a jerk to his friend, especially in a very public way, it's not enough to admit to being a jerk in a kind of light hearted way. That's doesn't really rise to the level of an apology. I recommend the book The Five Languages of Apology.
#3 Posted by Jennie Dusheck, CJR on Tue 5 Feb 2013 at 07:23 PM
I'm so glad you replied, Mr. Freedman! And good-naturedly, too. In general, I think your advice to find long-term "losers" is excellent. However, I'm one of those people who cut the carbs six years ago, the weight came off easily (70 pounds, down to 150), and I'll be happy eating this way the rest of my life, so score at least one for Gary. On the other hand, my boss works out, attends Weight Watchers, and eats a "sensible, balanced" calorie-reduced diet -- all the strategies that failed me for nearly three decades, yet they worked for her. My sense is that Gary is more right than most, in that almost every diet ends up cutting sugar/carb intake to some extent; the differences in dietary response are probably due to differences in how much carbohydrate each individual needs to remove to see benefits.
#4 Posted by Roseanna Smith, CJR on Wed 6 Feb 2013 at 12:33 PM
I liked the beginning of this, when you seemed to be heading toward a more philosophical, overarching discussion of how to report scientific/study findings as a journalist, but then I lost interest as you dove back into your personal debate with these two other reporters about what REALLY causes obesity.
Going back to the much more interesting point about the problems the press has with reporting scientific studies, I think a lot of it stems from basic lack of specificity on the part of the press. The natural tendency is to want to make the headline BIG AND MEANINGFUL AND IMPORTANT TO EVERYONE when the nature of the knowledge (especially causal knowledge) produced by good scientific studies, as you noted above, is instead small, selective, and situational.
To cut down on public confusion, in other words, try to make your headlines and your leads (or "ledes," if you wanna be all journo about it) much more specific about what the study actually tested and concluded. Also, try looking for directly contradictory evidence and publish that if you find it, as well. Then you're correctly leading readers to believe that, overall, "the science" is still unsettled on the matter, even as you present them with novel, interesting findings from whatever specific studies you want to write about.
#5 Posted by Taylor, CJR on Wed 6 Feb 2013 at 04:17 PM
I'm not sure a perspectival bias of the half-full/half-empty kind means a reporter has fallen short. To the extent a good news report is like a good scientific report, it asserts a state of affairs and presents the evidence (or representative data) that the assertion is based on. Take it or leave it, caveat emptor, seems to be the understanding in science. Journalism we seem to expect to be more reader friendly, but the more investigative and/or research-like the news story, the less plausible that seems as a goal, if we take science as the paradigm. Given that science runs on critical thinking, maybe we should expect journalism at times to work that way too. It seems OK to me to portray the graduated cylinder as half full, if your quoted source says that the meniscus was at 50.
#6 Posted by Oliver, CJR on Tue 26 Feb 2013 at 11:13 PM
All three are right in a sense. Of course it is POSSIBLE for people to lose weight and keep it off following the "establishment" guidelines -- low dietary fat, high carbohydrates and exercise. But Pope is right to point out that for most obese Americans, those guidelines are not a solution because most people can't live with the constant blood sugar spikes and falls and hunger pangs. Which is why Taubes' ideas -- the insulin theory, the carbohydrate theory, the Atkins theory -- are so intriguing because they provide a path for people to lose weight by keeping blood sugar and insulin levels low, encouraging fat burning and no hunger pangs. Carbohydrate restriction does not have to mean giving up on a balanced diet with exercise. It only means giving up sugar and starches -- the cheap processed carbohydrates that the food industry makes most of its money producing. This is so easy to see -- particularly if you have tried it -- it is hard to understand why so many doctors and dietitians are unwilling to consider it.
#7 Posted by Tom B, CJR on Tue 16 Apr 2013 at 09:31 AM