The barrage of stories worldwide on the first anniversary of the disaster at Japan’s Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant provided a largely gloomy forecast for the future of the nuclear industry.
On March 11, 2011, a magnitude 9.0 undersea earthquake off the northeastern coast of Japan trigged a massive tsunami that hit the Fukushima plant, causing severe damage and meltdowns in three reactors. A year later, pundits are still debating the fallout, not only for Japan, but also for a world searching for the reliable energy sources of the future. While some anniversary reports struck a note of techno-optimism about major strides in safety, the pendulum swung decidedly toward techno-pessimism about the major obstacles preventing nuclear power from becoming a bigger player in global power production and efforts to mitigate climate change.
A front-page New York Times story from Ohi, Japan on March 9, “Nuclear Power Nears Standstill for the Japanese,” kicked off a weekend’s worth of coverage laying bare the new reality of energy options post-Fukushima. Noting that all but two of the country’s 54 commercial reactors are now offline, with “the last operating reactor to be idled as soon as next month,” reporter Martin Fackler wrote that “Japan—once one of the world’s leaders in atomic energy—will have at least temporarily shut down an industry that once generated a third of its electricity.”
While the Japanese government clings to long-term hopes of getting the reactors up and running again, Fackler reported that for now, its citizens have made do with “a drastic conservation program,” reducing their use of air conditioning and office lights, while increasing power generation from conventional plants that burn natural gas and other fossil fuels. Another good portrait of the new landscape was found in The Guardian, which explained “how Fukushima is leading to a nuclear-free Japan” as public attitudes harden against nuclear power.
Techno-pessimism was also prominent in more global assessments of the future of nuclear power. The Economist’s cover carried the blunt headline, “Nuclear energy—The dream that failed.” Its 14-page special report concluded that, “a year after Fukushima, the future for nuclear power is not bright—for reasons of cost as much as safety.” While “nuclear power will not go away,” reporter Oliver Morton argued, “its role may never be more than marginal.”
In stark contrast, the Financial Times took a rare optimistic view of the situation in an upbeat interview with Yukiya Amano, head of the International Atomic Energy Agency. In the wake of the 1986 Chernobyl accident the world “had a nuclear renaissance and perhaps we got a bit complacent,” Amano said, adding that complacency “is the enemy of nuclear safety.” The disaster at Fukushima, he said, has proven to be “an important wake-up call,” which has triggered a “nuclear safety renaissance.”
“Nuclear power still has a role to play as a source of low-carbon electricity,” wrote FT correspondent Sylvia Pfeifer. While some countries, such as Germany, have decided to phase-out nuclear power, the World Nuclear Association says that 60 new reactors are currently under construction globally, roughly two-thirds in emerging economies such as China. Another 163 are on order or planned (prior to Fukushima, 62 were under construction and 156 on order or planned).
In the US, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission last month approved the construction and licensing of two new nuclear reactors at the existing Vogtle plant in Georgia, the first such approvals in this country since the 1979 Three Mile Island nuclear accident. On the anniversary of the Fukushima triple disaster—earthquake, tsunami, nuclear accident—local television covered anti-nuclear protestors who gathered at the Vogtle plant for a “day of remembrance” and warnings that the NRC had moved too fast in its approval. NRC commissioners will appear this week at a Senate hearing examining nuclear safety a year after Fukushima.
In the blogosphere, of course, commentary swung between the pro- and anti-nuclear positions, while Twitter lit up with a surge of #fukushima tweets in a multitude of languages. In a post titled “The Nukes of Hazard,” Climate Progress blogger Joe Romm concluded that nuclear power is too costly to be a major climate solution.

Speech by nuclear expert Arnold Gundersen to Vancouver conference March 11th, organized by Physicians for Global Survival.
Plus citizen activism in Japan, as parents measure radiation in their children. Aya Marumori & Wataru Iwata of CRMS from Fukushima.
Radio Ecoshock 120314 1 hour recordings from the conference.
http://bit.ly/wS7C5M
#1 Posted by Alex Smith, CJR on Mon 12 Mar 2012 at 07:43 PM
Curtis
Good summary of one aspect of the Fukushima anniversary coverage. May I suggest another; the reporting on the actual health effects of the radiation from this nuclear 'disaster' have almost universally found practically none. In fact, health experts almost all say that the fear of radiation, caused in great measure by poor government communication but certainly fueled by dramatic reporting, caused way more health damage than the radiation itself! Yet this important...CENTRAL...aspect of the story has not gotten much coverage, not nearly as much as the standard story of pro nuke or anti nuke. Here we have an actual godawful experiment on humans that demonstrates concretely that ionizing radiation is a far weaker carcinogen than most assume, and that doesn't get much coverage? That's faulty, lazy journalism, which keeps the public from having an informed view of a thorny issue. And it should be criticized in places like your column.
My two cents worth are up at Big Think http://bigthink.com/ideas/lessons-from-the-excessive-fear-of-fukushima?page=all
#2 Posted by David Ropeik, CJR on Tue 13 Mar 2012 at 01:09 PM
Dear Cristine,
this comment to let your readers know that they can find a Webdoc on Fukushima which shows plenty of other things than "news" on SCIENCES ET AVENIR WEBSITE http://www.sciencesetavenir.fr/nature-environnement/20120229.OBS2562/docu-un-an-apres-le-japon-bouleverse.html
#3 Posted by LEGLU, CJR on Wed 14 Mar 2012 at 08:41 AM
There's a 20-mile evacuation area. Almost all the nukes in Japan have been inoperational. As for cancer: it won't be several years until we see whether there are elevated levels. Correct me if I'm mistaken but were there comparison to Chernobyl citing the health effects 25 years later? Are there epidemoligical teams keeping tabs on citizens? This is media criticism, I know, but still didn't see any mention of radiation readings of air & water & soil. I think what we want is journalists who are techno-realists -- not pessimists or optimists. People complain about all the government subsidies that go into making wind, solar & other alternatives affordable: what are the attendant costs of nukes, including evacuations, clean-ups, poisoned air & water, disposal of wastes, regualtory agencies, medical costs to people & communities, lost businesses, etc. Perhaps these are mentioned in The Economist's lengthy piece: thank you Cristine for citing such work for CJR readers...
#4 Posted by Paul Sweeney, CJR on Wed 14 Mar 2012 at 11:59 AM
One of the interesting aspects of the anti-nuclear movement is the push from Japanese companies to buy into natural gas, particularily fracked gas:
http://www.vancouversun.com/touch/business/story.html?id=6169308
And while this strategy makes sense now since gas companies are finding themselves pinched by low gas prices, this was the same position oil producers were in during the 80's and 90's. When demand and speculators starts putting the squeeze on supply, and the controversy of fracking in the fresh water capital of the world stops being pushed into school newspapers:
http://www.nexusnewspaper.com/2012/01/25/getting-fracked-bc-allows-extensive-fracking-but-at-what-cost/
This strategy may become a liability. Japan has extensive geothermal and hydropower based opportunities that it could be looking at and I imagine it will since trust in big government and big business to handle things without citizen input has gone down drastically since the financial meltdown in 2008 and the tsunami in 2011. Before now, it was radicals who questioned the wisdom of building plants like Hamaoka even after the nuclear accident in the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa plant after the 2007 earthquake. Now, questioning wisdom is mainstream.
Perhaps in rebuilding itself, Japan will lead the world in wind, sea, and geothermal. As one who knows Japan, I have cautious hope.
In the meantime, this will likely mean big business for the LNG facilities in Sodegaura and a lot of flailing around policy wise as the Japanese try to figure out what to with their irradiated rubble, ocean, and farmland while trying not to freak out about radioactive hotspots detected in places as far south as Yokohama.
仕方ない。
#5 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Wed 14 Mar 2012 at 07:05 PM
More news on Mitsubishi's LNG push:
http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/story/2012/02/22/talisman-mitsubishi.html
And the hurting state of fracker finances which Japanese may soon start bidding up:
http://m.rollingstone.com/?redirurl=/politics/news/the-big-fracking-bubble-the-scam-behind-the-gas-boom-20120301
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