What, exactly, is a “serious” plan to resolve the budget impasse in Congress? It’s not clear how to define adjectives like this, but that didn’t stop Glenn Kessler, The Washington Post’s Fact Checker, from weighing in with a column on Monday arguing that President Obama’s budget is “not really a plan” because Obama hasn’t offered “a sustained presidential commitment” to it, including challenging his own party and “[making] the case for overhauling entitlement programs to the American people.”
Unfortunately, Kessler’s argument is semantic, not factual, and based in his own centrist ideology—a mistake that he and other factcheckers make too frequently. Factchecking is an inherently subjective enterprise; the divide between fact and opinion is often messy and difficult to parse. As CJR’s Greg Marx argued, it is therefore essential that factcheckers like Kessler only invoke the authority of facts when assessing claims that can be resolved on evidentiary grounds, rather than straying into subjective judgments about the political process or semantic debates over terminology.
What’s especially surprising about Kessler’s column (which, in fairness, is labeled “A guide” and does not assign an accuracy rating) is that it begins with him justifying his decision to avoid rendering judgment on a more directly misleading claim by House Speaker John Boehner that Obama had “no plan” at all:
Some readers have asked why we did not offer a fact check of House Speaker John Boehner’s statement on NBC’s Meet the Press that “even today, there’s no plan from Senate Democrats or the White House to replace the sequester.” Our colleagues at PolitiFact gave that statement a “Pants on Fire” rating, and readers were looking for some Pinocchios as well…
In isolation, Boehner’s statement seems pretty far-fetched. But we chose to pass on a fact check because the host, David Gregory, immediately challenged Boehner’s comment as “not true” and described what the president has proposed. Gregory and Boehner then got into a definitional argument over what constitutes a plan, which in Boehner’s mind seemed to be a bill that had passed the Senate so negotiations could begin with the House.
Indeed, immediately after Boehner’s appearance, White House aide Gene Sperling appeared on the program to describe the president’s proposals. “This is a summary,” he said. “It’s on the White House Web site.”
We try not to fact check opinions, and that seemed to be the core of the debate between Boehner and Sperling about what constitutes a “plan.”
However, Kessler then pivots to a subjective distinction between “real plans and faux plans” and tells readers that his column is “a guide to when a ‘plan’ is serious, based on The Fact Checker’s three decades of watching and reporting on Washington sausage-making.” The problem is that there are two competing definitions of plans, only one of which can be directly assessed using facts. The first is whether each side has created a specific budget proposal that includes enough new revenue and/or budget cuts to avoid sequestration. The second is whether each side has acted in good faith to create and promote a compromise proposal that has a realistic chance of becoming law. (See the political scientist Jonathan Bernstein for a more detailed parsing of this issue.)
Kessler wants to define “plan” using the second, more subjective definition above. In particular, he defines Obama’s plan, bizarrely, as “not really a plan” because it appears on the White House website but Obama has, to his mind, failed to make sufficient efforts to promote it:
By the same token, just having “a plan” on a Web site is not really a plan either. The White House’s proposal contains a mix of tax increases and modest reductions in entitlement and other spending programs, allowing the White House to claim it has made such proposals. In effect, however, this is another talking-point plan…
What is needed to break through the party’s respective echo chambers? The answer, in almost all cases, is sustained presidential commitment.
Obama has made passing reference to some of these spending-cut proposals in news conferences, but he has never made them the centerpiece of a high-profile speech. By contrast, he repeatedly—and very publicly—has stressed his interest in raising taxes on the wealthy. That’s why his ideas on entitlements remain a mystery to many Republicans—but they all know he wants to raise revenues.
The president’s outreach to Republican rank-and-file in the past week is a sign of seriousness, in that he is beginning to explain his ideas directly to the opposition.However, the president has not directly taken on members of his own party; he also has not made the case for overhauling entitlement programs to the American people.
The idea that Obama could resolve the impasse if only he tried harder is a common fallacy of centrist commentary in Washington, but it’s especially perverse when offered as a factcheck. The problem, once again, is a lack of discipline in selecting targets for factchecks and a tendency to make subjective pronouncements about language and process. As Marx notes, claims like these are “ultimately political, not journalistic, in nature. By insisting otherwise, and acting as if journalistic methods can resolve the argument, the factcheckers weaken the morally freighted language that’s designed to give their work power.”
Kessler is a distinguished reporter and journalist, so why not give him a separate column for punditry and preserve The Fact Checker column for, well, facts?
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Thanks to Brendan Nyhan and CJR for pointing out Glenn Kessler's astonishingly bogus piece of "fact checking" in WaPo. It discredits the entire fact-checking enterprise. I entirely agree with Nyhan's conclusion that if Kessler wants to write political columns stating his personal political views and observations, that's perfectly fine if that the Post wants to run them as opinion columns. But to present this piece as a "fact check" is ridiculous since it has little or nothing to do with evaluating empirical evidence. Kessler is setting out his own personal standard for what constitutes having a budget plan, which apparently does not include actually having publicly proposed a budget plan. Kessler's piece is a perfect example of the Beltway cult of bipartisanship, the mainstream media's embrace of false equivalence, and the all-too-frequent dishonesty of "fact checking."
#1 Posted by Harris Meyer, CJR on Tue 12 Mar 2013 at 07:30 PM
I must confess i have been surprised at some of the vitriol expressed about this column. I thought I was making the unremarkable observation that you can judge how serious a politician is about a plan by how hard he or she pushes for it. I thought I could marry that thought with an explanation of why I did not fact check Boehner's statement, but clearly my execution was off! (Kevin Drum at Mother Jones wrote that I was making a "reasonable point," so at least one reader understood what I was trying to say.)
Brendan makes some very good observations, which I will reflect on. I will note that if you look at the "About the Fact Checker" page, my mandate extends beyond just vetting statements: "We will not be limited to political charges or countercharges. We will seek to explain difficult issues, provide missing context and provide analysis and explanation of various 'code words' used by politicians, diplomats and others to obscure or shade the truth." I thought this column was in that realm but perhaps such columns should be better labeled in the future.
#2 Posted by Glenn Kessler, CJR on Wed 13 Mar 2013 at 09:41 AM
Kessler: Obama isn't serious because he doesn't agree with me.
Can't he Post find something useful for the guy to do?
#3 Posted by Peter Principle, CJR on Wed 13 Mar 2013 at 09:53 AM
This column looks like a continuation of Brendan's prior column. Both try to excuse Obama's lack of leadership.
The prior column cited a "green lantern" theory to claim that Obama's leaderhip wouldn't make a difference. This one quibbles over the exact meaning of the word "plan" and over Glenn Kessler's proper role in order to deflect Kessler's point that the President has not shown real leadership.
Obama's lack of leadership on the issue of Medicare and Social Security is particularly unfortunate. Obama has impeccable liberal credentials, and he will not run for office again. And, of course,he's the President. That's why he's in the best position to tell the country that these programs are unaffordable and unsustainable. He could make an address to the nation and just quote the latest Social Security Trustees' Report:
The long-run actuarial deficits of the Social Security and Medicare programs worsened in 2012... Lawmakers should not delay addressing the long-run financial challenges facing Social Security and Medicare. If they take action sooner rather than later, more options and more time will be available to phase in changes so that the public has adequate time to prepare. Earlier action will also help elected officials minimize adverse impacts on vulnerable populations, including lower-income workers and people already dependent on program benefits.
#4 Posted by David in Cal, CJR on Fri 15 Mar 2013 at 04:23 PM
Kessler is certainly wrong to say Obama has no "plan" because he has not fought for the specific implementation of all its elements. And Boehner is wrong to say the President has "no plan."
It's been said that in war, a plan doesn't last beyond the first contact with the enemy. However, "commander's intent" should be firmly set in the subordinates' minds, so that they can improvise toward the ultimate objective.
Similarly, Obama's "plan" sets the direction. The Republicans, political enemies, want Obama to retreat on his own (see: Obama's apparent first term negotiating strategy and Kessler's column), which is possibly a good tactic (for Republicans) but hardly something that disqualifies Obama from having a "plan."
@ #4 - Social Security and Medicare are two different animals - a SS fix is simple (eliminate income cap, for example), whereas Medicare lack of sustainability comes primarily from the rapaciousness of the Hospital, Pharmaceutical and Medical lobbies and industry (see Brill's Time Magazine article).
#5 Posted by Ned Roberts, CJR on Tue 19 Mar 2013 at 06:58 PM
Yes, eliminating the income cap on SS taxes would make SS (almost) sustainable long-term. But, where's the President's leadership and plan?
If Mr. Obama made a series of apeeches to the nation specifically calling for the elimination of the income cap on SS taxes, that would be a real plan. With his leadership, I think Congress would go along and pass something resembling the President's proposal. That's why I don't buy Brendan's "Green Lantern" excuse in the prior post.
Instead of endorsing a real plan that would solve the problem, the President pussyfoots around the teeny step of switching to chained CPI. This change would reduce the annual inflation increase in benefits by only a tenth of one per cent. And, Obama won't even publicly call for this utterly inadequate change in the law.
#6 Posted by David in Cal, CJR on Thu 21 Mar 2013 at 12:46 PM