With mandatory federal spending cuts looming on March 1, news organizations have finally begun running down the numbers on whose bank accounts may be smaller after the latest fiscal deadline, known as the sequester, and the rush—or, in some cases, lack of a rush—in Washington to avoid the economic damage the cuts will cause.
Some parts of this flurry of reporting have been banal or even confusing. But the stronger pieces point a path toward clearly explaining the cuts’ potential impact, scrutinizing politicians’ rhetoric, and putting the fiscal showdown in the context of larger economic trends.
At Politico earlier this week, Scott Wong showed how NIMBY thinking applies to politicians’ approach to the budget: a sizable contingent of lawmakers, some of whom generally beat the drums for steep spending reductions, are working hard to keep the cuts out of their district.
Wong’s report suggests a rich vein that could be pursued by local reporters, comparing their representatives’ rhetoric to actions—hopefully with more compelling results than readers and viewers got from some of President Obama’s interviews with local TV stations on Wednesday.
Creating straw man arguments and contrarian frames, on the other hand, does not help the public much. That is what Richard Cowan and David Lawder of Reuters did in a piece that opened with the declaration, “March 1, 2013, will not be remembered as the day the U.S. government disintegrated.”
No, it won’t, but as Cowan and Lawder acknowledge further down the across-the-board cuts will not help the economy either:
If allowed to run their course, the austerity measures could cost 750,000 jobs and keep weak economic growth stunted for the rest of 2013, the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office warns.That’s painful enough, even without the government collapsing. And as Binyamin Appelbaum and Annie Lowrey report in today’s New York Times, there is some evidence that the fiscal turmoil in Washington has already been a drag on the economy.
Plenty of the sequester coverage has focused on the effect of military cuts, in particular the harm to state and local economies. USA Today took a close look at that issue on Wednesday with and article accompanied by an interactive map, and the New York Times covers similar ground today, with an emphasis on civilian furloughs.
But a helpful blog post by The Washington Post’s Aaron Blake points to some other areas where the cuts would hit hard—federal grants to state governments for education and social services, such as family welfare and support for the elderly.
That sort of attention to practical impact suggests the coverage may be turning away from easy if unenlightening issues like the blame game. When politicians trade barbs reporters feel compelled to write about it, but a who-hit-Willy? approach can sow confusion without adding new insights, as shown in a Tuesday piece by the Post’s Zachary A. Goldfarb.
More interesting are attempts to link the debate over the cuts to broader economic concerns, such as Greg Sargent’s cogent Washington Post column connecting rapidly growing income inequality of incomes to the sequester fight.
Sargent’s post examines a new study by a Congressional Research Service analyst that found that the dramatic rise in top incomes over the past 15 years is due to larger capital gains and dividends—that is, income from investment rather than work. At the same time, wages have been stagnant and the economy is producing at least 20 million fewer full-time jobs than people seek.
As Sargent put it:
This finding is directly relevant to the current debate, because Obama and Democrats want to offset the sequester in part by closing loopholes enjoyed by the wealthy, such as the one that keeps tax rates on capital gains and dividends low. Dems want to do this in order to prevent a scenario where the sequester is averted only by deep spending cuts to social programs that could hurt a whole lot of poor and middle class Americans. Republicans oppose closing any such loopholes and want to avert the sequester with only deep spending cuts.

"Sargent is a liberal writer; would he have written so favorably about a study that pointed to a different conclusion?"
That's an interesting question and the answer is, when you look at folks like Kevin Drum, Matt Yglesias, and even Paul Krugman, that most liberal writers tend to be data driven and critical thinkers - often overly so. We tend to see things in shades of grey whereas others tend to see things in shades of BENGHAZI and FRIENDS OF HAMAS!
And unfortunately, much of the press tries to strike a balance between these poles.
I've heard it said that the midpoint between a truth and a lie is still a lie. The press who are reporting from the middle don't get that.
#1 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Fri 22 Feb 2013 at 01:53 PM
And part of the reason why is because the centrist press is made up of kinda awful people - like David "Bring On the PAIN!" Gregory and David "I used to be a fan of Simpson Bowles, but now I'm too HARD CORE!" Brooks:
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/02/21/alan-simpson-and-bernie-madoff/
"Ezra says, he’s lionized in a way that looks from the outside like a clear violation of journalistic norms:
For reasons I’ve never quite understood, the rules of reportorial neutrality don’t apply when it comes to the deficit. On this one issue, reporters are permitted to openly cheer a particular set of highly controversial policy solutions. At Tuesday’s Playbook breakfast, for instance, Mike Allen, as a straightforward and fair a reporter as you’ll find, asked Simpson and Bowles whether they believed Obama would do “the right thing” on entitlements — with “the right thing” clearly meaning “cut entitlements.”
So what is it that makes Simpson the figure he is? Clearly, it’s an affinity thing: never mind his obvious lack of knowledge, his ludicrous track record, reporters trust and idolize Simpson because he’s their kind of guy.
And think about what it says about them that their kind of guy is this cantankerous, potty-mouthed individual, who evidently feels not a bit of empathy for those less fortunate."
And even the overly critical liberal writers have a hard time being disconnected and unempathtic enough to fit in the Beltway social clubs, which is why they are ridiculed for being hippies when they should be celebrated for being right.
It's the consensus which is ridiculous. In a goddamn historic recession; while facing a climate crisis, mass deleveraging, and mass unemployment; during which the costs of government borrowing are practically paying you to spend - these idiots want to fight inflation and balance the budget while 'regretfully' passing tax cuts since that's the toll demanded by the republican roadblock crew - of whom we can speak no evil since they're just principled.
And when we try to suggest something slightly different their answer is to put on their best Dr. Evil face and rattle off "You just don't get it, do ya hippie. Let me tell you about a man named Shush!"
Honestly, sometimes I question whether or not I should even fight for a better future when it pays so much better to pave a road to hell.
Unfortunately it might also mean hanging out with David Gregory, David Brooks, and Alan Simpson. I don't think anyone could afford the rates I'd have to charge for that.
#2 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Fri 22 Feb 2013 at 02:22 PM
Ps. My David Brooks, 'now I'm Hardcore!' reference has found a suitable summary on the pages of Brad Delong.
http://delong.typepad.com/sdj/2013/02/ezra-klein-smacks-down-david-brooks-centrism-weblogging.html
"At this point David Brooks has a choice: he can say "I am an idiot who does not know what I am talking about"; or he can change the subject.
Guess what he does?
David Brooks: My first reaction is I’m not a huge fan of Simpson-Bowles anymore; I used to be. Among others, you persuaded me the tax reform scheme in theirs is not the best. Simpson-Bowles just doesn’t do enough on entitlements…
If I were running the New York Times, I would look at this and immediately say: We need to get Brooks out of our pages yesterday if not before, and we need an Ezra Klein of our own very badly.
Why oh why can't we have a better press corps?"
Also too:
http://www.phillymag.com/articles/booboos-in-paradise/
#3 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Sun 24 Feb 2013 at 12:40 PM
Shorter: "Are we not taking our role as stenographers to power seriously enough?"
#4 Posted by Jonathan, CJR on Fri 1 Mar 2013 at 02:41 PM