A similar model recently worked for Bob McDonnell in Virginia, Continetti writes, and it could work for Palin on the national stage. And who knows? If the economy remains bad enough for long enough, maybe it could. But evidence that Palin will actually choose this approach is… scarce. Bob McDonnell may have written a controversial graduate thesis a couple decades ago, but he didn’t write a campaign biography called Going Rogue. And if Palin were going to recast herself as Continetti suggests, it’s hard to imagine she would have, either.

Greg Marx is a CJR staff writer. Follow him on Twitter @gregamarx.