The discrepancy boils down to a little provocative flourish and a statistical point of view. When discussing the cost of a regulation that will reduce a “single death” per 100 people, everybody in the at-risk population has a 1 out of 100 chance of being that additional life saved. In other words, the regulation reduces everybody’s risk by 1 percent. The “Value of a statistical life” reflects the first point of view, which is more individualistic. “Value of mortality risk reduction” (also referred to as “micro-risk reduction”) reflects the second.
The Times made a smart decision by not burdening its readers with the agency’s ongoing debate about which term to use, but journalists should be aware of the rhetoric that surrounds it—and of the EPA’s capacity to point fingers. The AP deserves credit for consistently being on top of this story, and regardless of their focus, all of the articles cited above did a fairly good job explaining what the agency is measuring and why.
Post script: Most of the articles also explained how government agencies calculate the value of a statistical life (or mortality risk reductions), which is generally based on surveys of the extra pay that workers receive for high-risk jobs, or on surveys that ask people what they would be willing to pay to avoid a certain risk. Another proposal in the EPA’s white paper suggested placing a greater value on preventing cancer deaths compared to other causes of death, because people are more afraid of cancer and would pay relatively more to avoid it.
All of the news outlets highlighted above mentioned the “cancer differential,” but only the AP dug deeper. Its report quoted risk expert David Ropeik, who called the idea “dangerous” because people tend to overestimate the risk of cancer. In an op-ed for The Washington Post, Ropeik elaborated, explaining that people tend to fear cancer more than heart disease—believing the former causes more pain and suffering—even though heart disease is much more likely to kill them. Because of such “gaps” in our perception of risk, “we push for government policies that protect us more from what we’re afraid of than from what’s more likely to kill us. Resources devoted to lesser risks aren’t available to protect us from the bigger ones - meaning that our overall risk goes up.” [Disclouse: Ropeik has contributed to The Obervatory.]
The debate about the cancer differential is related to the debate about terminology. When the EPA suggested that it begin referring to the value of “mortality risk reductions” rather than of a “statistical life,” it was trying to stress that it wasn’t putting a value on actual human beings, or, as Ropeik put it, that “these aren’t real people with faces and arms and legs. These are statistical, abstract lives.” When it came to the cancer differential, however, the agency seemed to be encouraging the opposite point of view, asking people to think about real human experience. It’s a discrepancy with a lot of nuance, but one that reporters should be aware of.

I disagree with your approval of the AP slant, Curtis, i.e., “American Life Worth Less Today” “[EPA] has decided that an American life isn’t worth what it used to be.”. That kind of rhetoric is wildly irresponsible and sensationalistic and isn't worthy of a serious news venue. Fox News? Sure. National Inquirer -- more like it.
These are statistical analyses that aim to estimate what the cost would be to reduce the numerator of given incidence rate. It isn't a moral judgment. Nor should responsible journalists treat it that way. So NYT had a responsible approach to the piece, in my opinion.
Perhaps Mr. Ropeik would address the role that fear-mongering, sensationalist journalism plays in people's perception of risk. He gets at it here:
[The 1980's EPA study] found that the agency was spending too much to reduce some relatively small risks - hazardous-waste sites, underground fuel tanks and garbage dumps, all of which were hot topics in the news back then - and not enough on some bigger ones, such as radon, global warming (this was back in 1987!) and chemicals being dumped into rivers and coastal waters. .
Surely you remember the screaming headlines, back in the day. Kind of like terrorism during the Bush Administration. Booga booga!
#1 Posted by James, CJR on Mon 21 Feb 2011 at 07:38 PM
Fair point, James, thanks. The phrase-iology in the AP and NYT articles certainly didn't need to be as provocative as it was. The writers, or their editors, were undoubtedly trying to hook readers into what is essentially a dry story about statistics, but I wouldn't call that fear-mongering. In their entirety, the articles delivered fair and accurate descriptions of what the EPA is up to, which should (in my opinion) leave readers free to make their own judgements about whether or not the agency is making the right decisions.
#2 Posted by Curtis Brainard, CJR on Mon 21 Feb 2011 at 08:37 PM
CJR LESSON FOR TODAY: It is fine to discuss this topic, so long as you stay within the NYT- and AP-defined boundaries of acceptable debate. Do not question the policy on moral, legal, or practical grounds: such things could embarrass — alas, incriminate! — your D.C. Overlords. Arrange chairs on the Titanic and you are fit to print.
#3 Posted by Dan A., CJR on Mon 21 Feb 2011 at 11:55 PM
@Curtis,
I am sympathetic to the need for journos to employ a sexy "hook" for this kind of difficult subject matter in their headline and lede. Perhaps you and I differ over where that becomes irresponsible and over-the-top, as I believe AP's hook was. Fair enough. A lot of readers don't end up reading the whole piece, as we know, and thus are left with the impression that “[EPA] has decided that an American life isn’t worth what it used to be.” And that is just untrue.
Most readers don't have the tools and resources to "make their own judgements about whether or not the agency is making the right decisions." How can an average reader make a judgment whether scientists are using the correct valuation in a cost analysis of this complexity? Even scientists differ over the estimate. That's like expecting them to make their own judgment about valuation of mortgage derivatives; most readers simply don't have the tools or background to do that.
That's why beats like science and health policy demand journos who specialize in those areas. The writing about risk reduction demands understanding of statistical methods, hypothesis generating, and science; this is not a political issue, which AP makes it out to be, unnecessarily generating fodder for political posturing.
It isn't good journalism, and it isn't helpful, to generate political controversy when there is none. I submit that irresponsible journalism -- generating false controversy whether that's purposeful or from not understanding the subject matter -- often forces policy-makers to make poor policy decisions as Mr. Ropeik outlines. And I think that AP's lede is guilty of that.
Cheers.
#4 Posted by James, CJR on Tue 22 Feb 2011 at 07:44 AM
I think people also tend to fear cancer, and desire more regulation on carcinogens, than heart disease since heart disease is perceived as a dietary and physical maintenance problem - a result of individual choices in which the self victimizes the self.
Cancer - from the environment - is perceived as a dump problem. People did not choose to live in a carcinogenic dump, they did not choose to consume carcinogenic products, and thus they are being victimized by something outside their control.
People want the behaviors of those they can't control regulated so that they are protected from those they can't protect themselves from. They don't want protection from their own choices.
As an aside, all this talk about the statistical value of human life reminds me of the Summers memo,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Summers_memo
#5 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Tue 22 Feb 2011 at 10:05 AM
Speaking of the value of life, how's about an update on that ol mega spill a few months back?
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2011/02/21/109128/infant-dolphin-deaths-spiking.html
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20110220/ap_on_sc/us_sci_oil_spill_lingers
#6 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Tue 22 Feb 2011 at 10:23 AM
And let's not forget that rationing has been such a smashing social and economic success throughout history.
#7 Posted by Dan A., CJR on Fri 25 Feb 2011 at 01:59 AM
Dude, your posts used to be thoughtful. I disagreed with them, but they were thoughtful.
What does rationing have to do with the EPA? What does it have to do with the changing values set upon productive human lives?
What inspired you to type that? I don't see the thought there.
#8 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Fri 25 Feb 2011 at 04:09 AM
I understand your concern here, Thimbles. But history speaks for itself on central planning and "value" arbitration. Value is subjective; it should never be set by central-govt fiat. The same goes for prices, wages, the money supply, the food supply, ad inf.
#9 Posted by Dan A., CJR on Fri 25 Feb 2011 at 10:50 PM
What's the value of life, human or otherwise?
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/27/us/27gas.html
"With hydrofracking, a well can produce over a million gallons of wastewater that is often laced with highly corrosive salts, carcinogens like benzene and radioactive elements like radium, all of which can occur naturally thousands of feet underground. Other carcinogenic materials can be added to the wastewater by the chemicals used in the hydrofracking itself.
While the existence of the toxic wastes has been reported, thousands of internal documents obtained by The New York Times from the Environmental Protection Agency, state regulators and drillers show that the dangers to the environment and health are greater than previously understood.
The documents reveal that the wastewater, which is sometimes hauled to sewage plants not designed to treat it and then discharged into rivers that supply drinking water, contains radioactivity at levels higher than previously known, and far higher than the level that federal regulators say is safe for these treatment plants to handle...
But the E.P.A. has not intervened. In fact, federal and state regulators are allowing most sewage treatment plants that accept drilling waste not to test for radioactivity. And most drinking-water intake plants downstream from those sewage treatment plants in Pennsylvania, with the blessing of regulators, have not tested for radioactivity since before 2006, even though the drilling boom began in 2008.
In other words, there is no way of guaranteeing that the drinking water taken in by all these plants is safe."
Not very much, compared to natural gas.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gasland
It's a pity it didn't win an oscar.
#10 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Mon 28 Feb 2011 at 04:21 AM