These reports could do little more than state the facts, however. For now, the only people who are “convinced” that the CAFO is at fault are the residents of La Gloria. Most articles printed the canned statement from Smithfield and the Mexican government, saying that they have “found no clinical signs or symptoms of the presence of swine influenza in its herd or its employees working at its joint ventures anywhere in Mexico.” That statement, of course, belies the fact that it is unclear whether or not anybody has actually tested the pigs and workers at Granjas Carroll. At CNN, Gupta reported that Smithfield and the Mexican Department of Agriculture told him they had, in fact, done testing, which had come back negative. Even if they have tested, however, it is clear that independent verification is needed. The United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization has sent an emergency response team to the area, but there is still no word about what it has found.
There have been a few exceptions to the restrained coverage in mainstream news outlets (mostly among British publications, curiously enough). The Times of London and The Independent ran articles that themselves were not substantially different from others. Their respective headlines, however—“Mexico outbreak traced to ‘manure lagoons’ at pig farm” and “For La Gloria, the stench of blame is from pig factories”—were sensationalistic and grossly misleading.
The Guardian has run two op-eds on the subject. One, by a University of California history professor, made the rash statement in its lede that, “The Mexican swine flu, a genetic chimera probably conceived in the faecal mire of an industrial pigsty, suddenly threatens to give the whole world a fever.” The other, by a member of the European Parliament, called for more research and quoted the director of Public Health and Animal Agriculture at the U.S. Humane Society saying that the first triple-hybrid swine flu virus (as the one responsible for the current outbreak appears to be) emerged at a North Carolina factory farm in 1998.
Clearly, it is too early to make bold pronouncements about CAFOs’ role in abetting the epidemic that has now spread to seven countries. As a front-page article in The New York Times on Wednesday pointed out, even “La Gloria may not, in the end, be the source of anything.” And Yulsman, who originally chided the press for ignoring factory farms, wrote a follow-up post criticizing CNN’s Headline News for hyping the threat they pose. Many worry that jumping to conclusions can lead to panic or incite unnecessary and costly control measures. (Take, for example, Egypt’s decision to slaughter all of the country’s 300,000 pigs despite no confirmed cases there, or an article in The Washington Post about the threat to the global economy.)
That said, now is the perfect time for journalists to begin investigating CAFOs in a responsible fashion. That means doing things a little differently than the early blog posts, which tended to have a finger-pointing tone, did not deliver much context about evidence and controlling for alternative hypotheses, and did not call experts to test their theories.
Those bloggers deserve credit for calling the press into action, however, for they obviously succeeded. It’s a fine line between asking tough questions and jumping to conclusions, and somebody has to walk it.

The one point you totally skipped in this piece was to state clearly that swine flu can not be transmitted by eating properly cooked pork. It's even on the CDC's fact sheet:
http://www.cdc.gov/swineflu/key_facts.htm
#1 Posted by Jake Bryan, CJR on Wed 29 Apr 2009 at 10:45 PM
Jake, that is a very good point. To be clear, the worry isn't so much that people in La Gloria or elsewhere would have contracted swine flu from eating pork products from Granjas Carroll. Rather, it is that the disease might have been transmitted by some other vector, such as flies or direct contact with the pigs themselves. But this brings up another very good point about why one should not rush to conclusions about this CAFO. We still don't have any evidence that the flu even started in Mexico, let alone Granjas Carroll. Merritt Clifton, the editor of Animal People news and certainly no friend of factory farming, just posted an excellent argument at Grist for not jumping the smoking gun on this one. There are still competing explanations out there, Clifton writes, including a report of a migrant worker possibly bringing the flu to La Gloria from the U.S. Given viruses' ability to move quickly and globally, hard evidence is key.
#2 Posted by Curtis Brainard, CJR on Thu 30 Apr 2009 at 09:51 AM
Interesting article. Where I'm from people are freaking out about it too, so I created an ebook to help people out. You can download it a www.jamesryanhamilton.com/swineflu
#3 Posted by james, CJR on Thu 30 Apr 2009 at 01:25 PM
Sometimes if it looks like a duck and walks like a duck, it's a duck. The locus of outbreak and strain for flu both implicate the local CAFO. Common sense and a modicum of deductive reasoning will tell you that animals kept in dirty, crowded conditions under stress will be more susceptible to disease. The only defense of the mega-CAFO is economics. From the standpoint of ethics (treating animals horribly, way worse than kicking a dog) and science (low quality meat, tainted groundwater), they are utterly indefensible.
The swine flu is a crock anyway. More people died from heart attacks in the USA in the past hour than have died globally in the past week from this thing.
#4 Posted by Chuck, CJR on Thu 30 Apr 2009 at 03:45 PM
Hey all, found this site, it has updates and general info on the swine flu outbreak sorted by country (ie US, Mexico, New Zealand, Europe) seems quite good...
www.swine-flu-info.com
#5 Posted by JaneW, CJR on Thu 30 Apr 2009 at 06:17 PM
This is a terrific review of how bloggers, including myself, have handled the flu outbreak. I accept both the praise and the criticism, which I think is fair.
For the record, though, let me make it clear that I never made the point that a particular CAFO in Mexico was a likely source of this flu outbreak. Here's what I wrote:
"...it is possible that the virus that has killed 149 people in Mexico jumped from a hog in an industrial operation to a human being. I emphasize the word “may” because no one knows yet whether this is the case, and it may never be known. Even so, credible researchers have raised the alarm, so this story deserves at least some attention."
I called on journalists to shift from reporting on the latest new cluster of cases and start reporting on the broader scientific, historical and social contexts. The broader scientific context is that flu viruses mutate rapidly, which allows them to jump from species to species. And this is made easier when a large number of animals, such as pigs in the extremely tight confines of a CAFO, are in close proximity to people.
As Brainard's excellent review states, it is time for responsible investigation of this angle on the flu outbreak story.
#6 Posted by Tom Yulsman, CJR on Thu 30 Apr 2009 at 08:54 PM
Excellent article. I hope it will be widely read.
#7 Posted by ally, CJR on Thu 30 Apr 2009 at 11:32 PM
This is a very fine review of events, and much appreciated. I also have a couple of comments.
I have been interviewed by mainstream media about this story, and often I am the one who must remind them that there is no proof that this virus originated in Mexico, including an appearance this week on CNBC’s “Power Lunch” www.tinyurl.com/kirbycnbc.
In all of my Huffington Post pieces, I have made it clear that we do not know where this virus originated, as you indicated. Even in my current piece online, I state that it is “entirely possible” the virus did not come from a Mexican CAFO, but it is not a “wild theory” either, as Reuters labeled it in a story yesterday.
That said, I still think there is plenty of evidence to continue investigating Mexico and swine CAFOs (on all continents) because this virus had to have mutated somewhere into its current form – and residents of La Gloria began complaining of strange flu symptoms in February, if not sooner. Only one four-year-old boy’s sample was tested, and it came back positive for the new H1N1 strain. It could be a coincidence that he was the only person in town to get the disease, and stranger things have happened, but it remains suspect.
Meanwhile, testing of pigs may reveal nothing, because the virus may have moved out of the herd by now, or carrier pigs may have died or been killed. I believe that workers should also be tested for low-level, asymptomatic infections, which is more likely to occur among people who are exposed to Zoonotic pathogens on a daily basis and develop some immunity, animal scientists told me.
Which leads me to my final point. You note that bloggers, “did not call experts to test their theories.” I can’t speak for others, but I spent hours interviewing officials from the CDC, USDA and the US Trade Office, as well as Dr. Ellen Silbergeld, professor of environmental health sciences at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, and a leading researcher of pathogen evolution in CAFOs; Dr. Liz Wagstrom, director of veterinary science at the National Pork Board, Dr. Gregory Gray, a University of Iowa professor of international epidemiology and expert in zoonotic infections, Bob Martin, former executive director of the Pew Commission on Industrial Farm Animal Practices and currently a Senior Officer at the Pew Environmental Group; plus some US hog growers and other people involved in agricultural science.
All of them said the La Gloria connection was a plausible explanation, and some thought it was likely. Thanks again for a nice roundup of events.
David Kirby
www.huffingtonpost.com/david-kirby
#8 Posted by David Kirby, CJR on Fri 1 May 2009 at 11:32 AM
Tom & David, thanks for the comments. You both make valid points. I should have included another paragraph about your posts as wells as Tom Philpott’s. Indeed, it is important to emphasize that you were all raising the question, not making an accusation, and that nobody was flying off the cuff in doing so.
#9 Posted by Curtis Brainard, CJR on Fri 1 May 2009 at 09:48 PM
Press Release - Researchers Question Nature, Cause and Treatment of “Swine Flu” Outbreak
#10 Posted by CB_Brooklyn, CJR on Fri 1 May 2009 at 09:56 PM
I thank you for the article on the CAFO in Mexico and the swine flu. I have long felt they are intrinsically connected. One million pigs?????????? I cannot believe it. We are confronted with a CAFO outside of New Richmond, WI. The Schottler Dairy has proposed a factory farm of 3800 dairy cows in an area zoned AG which is a few miles from an area zoned residential/ag. We are so disconcerted. We have rallied and have begun the fight. It looks bleak. The DNR has to issue a permit if everything is in place in the proposal, requesting a permit. The proposal has not been sent to the DNR yet. We have formed the St. Croix Alliance For Environmental Sustainability. We are scrambling to get the word out. One of your links, an article from the Pew Commission will be great to disseminate to the public. It seems that the Powers That Be just skim over the fact that this will not be a plus for anyone but the factory owner's pocketbook. Many of these CAFOS are not owned locally. Many of them are owned by investors. Look at the owner of the Mexican CAFO iinyour article. It is Smithfield in the U.S. The owners get government money to boot. The CSAs should be the wave of the future, but will they? Will big brother win again? Many who live by these CAFOS suffer from neurological symptoms. It stands to reason that when millions of gallons of manure are spread that the flies will carry the diseases from that area to humans and other animals. There is the issue of e-coli in the water. There are over 160 VOCs emitted from the lagoons. Among these the most serious are ammonia and hydrogen sulfide gas. Wikipedia defines hydrogen sulfide gas as a poisonous substance. One CAFO in Minnesota had an ambient air reading of 1000 ppb and yet the regulatory bodies state a reasonable reading would be 30 to 50 ppb in order not to become very ill. So what did the 1000 ppb do? I read it in an article that did not mention the place, the person, or anything definitive. Just that the person living close by had to install central air, closer her windows, take her clothes off the line, etc. Few are gaining ($ only) and many are suffering. Some have died.
I will continue to fight this CAFO; I am not a negative person. I believe in the wonderful cliche' 'Hope springs eternal'. HOWEVER, I do not feel we will win.
Any comments and/or links to pertinent information would be appreciated.
#11 Posted by Jan, CJR on Sat 27 Mar 2010 at 02:02 PM