Forbes touts its annual list of the 400 richest U.S. billionaires as evidence “that the American dream is still very much alive,” claiming that 70 percent of them “made their fortunes entirely from scratch.” I noted that in a post the other day, and questioned whether it was true.
Its not. The liberal group United for a Fair Economy has done the heavy lifting on Forbes’s bootstrappers, and its report, “Born on Third Base,” shows that the vast majority of the country’s plutocrats either inherited their money or had significant help from family members. What’s surprising is that this is surprising to Forbes.
Just 35 percent of the Forbes 400 last year were raised poor or middle class, compared to 95 percent of the broader public, as (reasonably) defined by UFE. Twenty one percent inherited enough money to join the 400 without lifting a finger, what UFE calls being “born on home plate.” Another 7 percent inherited at least $50 million or a “large and prosperous company,” 12 percent inherited at least a million bucks or a decent-sized business or startup capital from a relative, and 22 percent were “born on first base,” into an upper class family or got a modest inheritance or startup capital (UFE says it was conservative in assigning people to bases, so its report understates their advantages somewhat). So, at least 62 percent did not, in fact, make their fortunes “entirely from scratch.”
In other words, contra Forbes’s assertion, its 400 list is more a picture of class immobility and stratification than a portrait of an American dream of opportunity for all if who are willing to work hard. It has gotten the story exactly backward.
Of course, this isn’t to say that people who built or massively expanded companies they inherited somehow don’t deserve credit for their work. It’s just to acknowledge that even $50,000 in startup capital or inheritance is a huge advantage on someone with just as much capability but no money. It’s fair to assume that, say, the Koch brothers and Rupert Murdoch, as good a businessmen as they are, would be anywhere near as wealthy as they are today if they hadn’t inherited businesses to expand or that Bill Gates would have created Microsoft without attending an elite high school that afforded them computer access in the early 1970s.
And the false impression that most of these billionaires “built that” from scratch has important implications for policy. As a group they pay less than 20 percent of their income in taxes, largely because of capital gains rates that favor wealth over work.
If anything, the UFE’s report probably understates what the effects of stratification look like now. Most billionaires are older than the average American. It takes a while to accumulate that amount of wealth, and even if you inherit it, you typically don’t until an aged relative kicks over. The median age of the 20 richest Americans is 68. The median age of all Americans is 37.
That 68 year old was born in 1944 and would come of age in the Great Compression, when the income and wealth disparities between the rich and everyone else were at historic lows and social mobility wasn’t as calcified as it is now:
In other words, in 20 or 30 years, don’t be surprised if the Forbes 400 has even fewer Horatio Alger stories—and is still spinning the billionaires it fawns over as proof that the American Dream is alive and well for the rest of us.

It's nice that they did the analysis, but I wish they included the underlying data for more than 5% of the 400 people they looked at. For example, of the folks born in the "batters box," e.g. middle class or lower, how did they make their money? So far we know about Larry Ellison, Harold Hamm, and Oprah Winfrey. But given that it's 35% of the Forbes 400, there are another 137 people we don't know about.
#1 Posted by Astraea, CJR on Fri 28 Sep 2012 at 09:05 PM
Please tell me you merely didn't read this key corrective to the article: "EDIT NOTE: First version of this post said that 70% built their fortunes entirely from scratch; it should have said 70% are self-made, as some might have borrowed money from in-laws or parents, or started businesses with spouses or other relatives, but nevertheless built these fortunes themselves." Another fact you omit: Gates, Buffet, and many others are political entrepreneurs, not market entrepreneurs. They benefit from regulations, subsidies, taxation, etc.; i.e., they are unfairly shielded by govt from competition and other rigors of capitalism. Don't let these facts slow your egalitarian roll. *smh*
#2 Posted by Dan A., CJR on Fri 28 Sep 2012 at 10:03 PM
Cry some more, there are people in other nations dying to be part of the 35% that could move out of the poor bracket, in almost every other nation they never move out of the poor bracket and remain in squalor. People whine about the stupidest crap, get over it and make your own way by making contacts, 35% have shown you its not impossible.......
#3 Posted by bob, CJR on Fri 28 Sep 2012 at 11:21 PM
That's just stupid. Millions of people inherit $50,000 or more and there are only 400 on the Forbes 400 richest list. Millions inherit more than that and aren't on the list so saying that is an advantage is just not being intellectually honest.
Being surprised that the average age of billionaires is greater than the average age of Americans is stupidity also. Of course it takes time to accumulate wealth and older people have more. This is the opposite of the point they are trying to make in the article, that people make money by inheriting it rather than earning it over time. The author must be a liberal, cause conservatives make dumb mistakes but aren't consistently wrong on every point like this.
#4 Posted by Grant, CJR on Sat 29 Sep 2012 at 12:47 AM
Bill Gates mother introduced him to the CEO of IBM.An advantage that most of us could never have gotten.
#5 Posted by Albert, CJR on Sat 29 Sep 2012 at 02:15 AM
If the household wealth in the US of $65.7T was spread evenly among the 314M people we'd all have about $209k in worth, that being decidedly not the case as th3 top 1% of the US has in its possession approximately $22T of that wealth for an average of $7M per person of 3.14M people however the next 40% of that wealth is spread among about 28.3M people for an average of $929k per person. This progression gets progressively worse however the bottom 40% of the population is a staggeringly low average of $5224 per person among 125.8M Americans.
This isn't a question of whether people can get there, it's to know that the deck is stacked against an individual by such staggering margins, that thinking I can bootstrap my way up from nothing is not only delusional, but ignores the fact that the advantages afforded to those already wealthy in the form of stable home lives, safe neighborhoods, and numerous opportunities means that while you might believe anyone can become wealthy, it takes a very rare mind to make it past such hurdles.
#6 Posted by Spence M., CJR on Sat 29 Sep 2012 at 02:45 AM
An interesting note - please look over the social mobility graph displaying the probability of staying in the top/bottom class. Now, consider how much longer we're living.
I'll bet calcification of social mobility over the last 70 years correlates additionally with life expectancy and lifetime GDP - use the same sample and evaluate as a function of time (70 yrs).
#7 Posted by Marcus d., CJR on Sat 29 Sep 2012 at 04:20 AM
There are people who are poor because they make mistakes, but there are a lot more people who are poor because the of financially unlucky circumstances. If your child has health problems you have to take care of it, and hospital bills are insanely high. There are people who take every precaution and still have unforeseeable things happen and never get a chance to come back from the loss because of a streak of bad luck.
I always hear 'don't use credit cards' but most of you who play poker will agree that when you're having a bad night, sometimes all you can do is lose LESS money. Obviously you don't HAVE to play poker, but you have no choice but to play the hand you're dealt in life (I advise against folding). You have to put up ante, and if it takes a credit card to stay out of the poor house, most people charge it. Once you're in with credit cards, you're in for a long time.
Certainly not to blame credit cards exclusively. A close relative of mine worked their guts out for years just to get by, and after putting up with the unreasonable stress of their job for more than fourteen years gave them a stroke leaving them unable to do intensive physical labor, they were denied disability benefits. Despite all this, the person still struggles to get by but it's a hard road they are walking.
Every time some arrogant, obtuse jackass opens the hole in their face to emit the same old garbage phrases like, "You should just go to school, get a degree, and then you could get a good-paying job", the urge to commit violence against that person is stronger than ever. Everyone I've spoken with that has gone to college got nothing but financial difficulty. A teacher had to go back and get a business degree and ended up having to move to a major city in the hopes to get a job there, an artist looking to break into computer graphics had a professor who wasn't prepared to teach students anything other than website design. Others find their degrees are nearly meaningless by the time they get out of college because the job market suddenly changes or there's a sudden overabundance of their degree. Those that are able to go into their field are still forced into debt for a decade.
Other than in extremely rare cases- where someone hits the lottery or an equivalent windfall happens (in addition to that person having good financial sense)- you don't see anyone rich who wasn't born into it.
#8 Posted by Beingpoor Ismoreluckthanskill, CJR on Sat 29 Sep 2012 at 09:43 AM
"Bill Gates mother introduced him to the CEO of IBM.An advantage that most of us could never have gotten.
#5 Posted by Albert on Sat 29 Sep 2012 at 02:15 AM"
Which apparently culminated in Gates being virtually given IBM DOS, which I hasten to add, was the most robust, stable Operating System that Microsoft ever sold and Gates had little or nothing to do with its development.
Monte Haun mchaun@hotmail.com
#9 Posted by Monte Haun, CJR on Sat 29 Sep 2012 at 09:51 PM
I have gained an impression that if ones Surname is Hamilton, one need only walk into a Bank or other financial institution, and S/He will be offered a job, out of hand.
I asked a Friend to look at the Membership of the American Bankers Association(?) to see the number of Hamiltons. She said few or none, as I recall.
I wonder if She was telling the truth.
Monte Haun mchaun@hotmail.com
#10 Posted by Monte Haun, CJR on Sat 29 Sep 2012 at 10:04 PM
Interesting to me, that in the recessions (gray stripes on graph of social mobility), the top 60% probability of staying in their group goes up, while the bottom 40% goes down. Meaning, the poor are more likely to become wealthier in a recession, and the rich(er) are even more likely to remain rich(er) in a recession, as i understand it. Huh. A little confusing, what with recessions being a time of economic slowdown. Apparently, while economic growth slows, individuals' wealth grows?
#11 Posted by s. nachalo, CJR on Sun 30 Sep 2012 at 12:58 AM
Rich parasites off our backs. Where is Robespierre when we really need him ?
#12 Posted by Edmond J. O'Neill, CJR on Tue 2 Oct 2012 at 12:55 PM
The reail missed point by those who have posted comments is that Americans are constantly being beaten over the head with the fallacy that the road to wealth is ONLY based on hard work. Never has been, never was, and - the real point of the study - isn't the road that most of the wealthy have taken. In fact, this is nothing new. There have been historical studies comparing data throughout American history, and almost all have arrived at the standard being about 2/3 of the wealthy have inherited and only 1/3d built it from non-wealthy beginnings. Meaning, surprisingly, that LIKE baseball, the game is designed (rigged?) so that most runners who score start on 2nd or better. The difference is that in baseball you have to EARN your way into "scoring position". Interestingly, there was some evidence in the Reagan era that the percentage had moved to about 50/50 - which still means half did nothing to become wealthy - but it wouldn't be surprising to find the amount of opportunities have reverted to the norm.
The column, and maybe the study, also glosses over the reality of the much greater ability of the wealthy to get commercial loans. Donald Trump, Sr. (btw, another wealthy offspring) - a man involved in four bankruptcies - has always been able to walk into most financial institutions and get a substantial loan, and probably always will be. As could Paris Hilton, whose accomplishments are dubious at best.
Saddly, this means that, to be honest, I'd have to tell young people that the surest way to gain wealth is to marry into it. However, the wealthy will still push the Horatio Alger myth to distract us in order to help maintain that income gap. It's like a similar myth I have often quipped about concerning my home state, Kentucky: Every Kentucky politician I every heard was born in a log cabin. If you don't believe me, just ask them.
BTW, Edmond, lol, but whether beheading is a good idea or not, someday America's rich may find they driven the rest of us to it again.
#13 Posted by mediaman13, CJR on Thu 4 Oct 2012 at 05:50 PM