It’s always nice to see a paragraph like this on the front page of the country’s biggest paper:
In the wake of the worst recession in 50 years, there’s little doubt that the American middle class—the 40% of households with annual incomes between $50,000 and $140,000 a year—is in distress. Even before the recession, incomes of American middle-class families weren’t keeping up with inflation, especially with the rising costs of what are considered the essential ingredients of middle-class life—college education, health care and housing. In 2009, the income of the median family, the one smack in the middle of the middle, was lower, adjusted for inflation, than in 1998, the Census Bureau says.
This is, after all, one of the biggest business stories of our age, and The Wall Street Journal tells it through the evolving strategy of that emblem of American middle-class consumerism, Procter & Gamble. P&G sees the U.S. economy bifurcating into high and low end, with the middle moving mostly toward the low end.
P&G has seen consumers move away from its full-priced brands toward its cheaper brands and those of lower-priced competitors, the Journal reports. At the same time, it sees high-end consumers flush with cash and is trying to market expensive products toward the luxury set. This is a good anecdote:
P&G’s dominant fabric-softener sheets business, including its Bounce brand, fell five percentage points to 60.2% of the market as lower-priced options from Sun Products Corp. and private-label brands picked up sales…
But this one is not so good:
As the recession wore on, U.S. market-share gains for P&G’s cheaper Luvs diapers and Gain detergent increased faster than its premium-priced Pampers and Tide brands.
This implies that P&G’s premium-priced brands are still gaining market share. If that’s so, it dents the story’s thesis that P&G exemplifies the bifurcation in the market, which is otherwise known as inequality. Along those lines, though, this is terrific:
To monitor the evolving American consumer market, P&G executives study the Gini index, a widely accepted measure of income inequality that ranges from zero, when everyone earns the same amount, to one, when all income goes to only one person. In 2009, the most recent calculation available, the Gini coefficient totaled 0.468, a 20% rise in income disparity over the past 40 years, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.
“We now have a Gini index similar to the Philippines and Mexico—you’d never have imagined that,” says Phyllis Jackson, P&G’s vice president of consumer market knowledge for North America. “I don’t think we’ve typically thought about America as a country with big income gaps to this extent.”
But there’s a blind spot here: Why this is all happening? This story could have gone from good to great by looking at how P&G itself is emblematic of the structural changes killing the American economy.
I wrote about a Washington Post story a few weeks back that looked at how many workers big U.S. companies had here versus overseas. The Journal reports that 60 percent of P&G’s profits come from the U.S. The Post reported that just 28 percent of P&G’s workers are in the U.S. Good old Midwestern, middle-class Procter & Gamble employs 72 percent of its 127,000 workers outside the country.
In other words, P&G is no bystander here (neither for that matter is Citigroup, with its long history of predatory lending, of quoted here on its “Consumer Hourglass Theory” that says investors should buy high-end and low-end consumer stocks). It’s an active participant in the hollowing out of the American economy.
“We now have a Gini index similar to the Philippines and Mexico—you’d never have imagined that" . . .
-uh, yes, I would have. Circa 1991 I called it Brazilification. What I couldn't imagine then was that Brazil, 20 years on, would be slightly better, with fewer small shop owners paying off-duty cops to kill street kids and dump their bodies at the edge of town.
So there is hope.
But the USA is playing out just about as it was envisioned by the architects of Reagan and Bush I. Good to see the WSJ taking notice.
#1 Posted by Edward Ericson Jr., CJR on Mon 12 Sep 2011 at 03:22 PM
Ryan, P&G is a global consumer marketing company. It’s huge here in China (where I live). The US has 4% of the world’s population, so the fact that it has more workers overseas than in the US is to be expected. Expect that number to increase, which would be good for P&G and for their workers here in the US.
I also really take issue with your “good to great” idea that this or any other news story would benefit from an op-ed passage incorporating your own personal political views. I’m not sure what “structural changes killing the American economy” you mean, but I’ll take a wild guess that you’re not thinking of over-regulation.
Why on Earth does CJR have to insist that its liberal views be regurgitated lock-step by every reporter? Isn’t variety of viewpoint a good thing?
#2 Posted by JLD, CJR on Tue 13 Sep 2011 at 12:39 AM
Yeah, JLD: Pat Buchanan and I--partners in liberalism. Is it political to point out that one of our biggest companies employs vastly more people overseas than at home, or is it public interest? I'd say it's the latter, particularly when talking about a story discussing the company's observations on the erosion of the U.S. middle class.
Population is irrelevant. 60 percent of profits in the U.S., 37 percent of revenues, 28 percent of workers in the U.S.
#3 Posted by Ryan Chittum, CJR on Tue 13 Sep 2011 at 01:56 AM
Ryan, I'd be interested in seeing the total compensation charts for P&G for their domestic and overseas employees. I spend a lot of time with US multinationals here in China, and without exception the Americans have the high-paying value added jobs, while many of the overseas workers are factory staff or salesmen.
Simply comparing US domestic to overseas staff numbers is not a useful metric. It lends itself to simplistic conclusions.
The other point is: what would you have P&G do? Stop selling its products in China and India? Would it be in "the public interest" to close the overseas operations of, say, Coke's bottling factories around the world? Yeah, that'll teach 'em!
#4 Posted by JLD, CJR on Tue 13 Sep 2011 at 03:51 AM
JLD wrote: "what would you have P&G do"
padikiller notes: Ryan would have P&G give away diapers to end the world's diaper "inequality"... Limit executive compensation to pay workers more... Tax ever more of the evil profits.. Etc...
In Chittumland, the a corporation exists to pay taxes, pay high wages to workers, pay low salaries to executives, provide generous benefits, provide guaranteed pensions, donate to charity, foster peace, protect the environment, etc.
Making a profit? Thievery... Avoiding taxes? Criminal thievery.
Typical commie nonsense...
#5 Posted by padikiller, CJR on Tue 13 Sep 2011 at 07:30 AM
I see where you are going with this Ryan, and I am not entirely unsympathetic to your perspective, but you are using a rather poor example to make your point. Manufacturers, especially of freight sensitive non durable consumer goods, go where the customers are. Siemens, for example, employs two thirds of its workforce outside of Germany and Unilever (a more apples to apples comparison to P&G) employs about 80% of its workforce outside of Europe. Global companies operate globally.
#6 Posted by Mike H, CJR on Tue 13 Sep 2011 at 11:17 AM
Down here in Australia we have a saying: "Is that true, or did you read it in a Murdoch paper?"
Unfortunately, our media inquiry will do nothing about the fact that he controls 70% of our media.
Terms of reference:
http://www.minister.dbcde.gov.au/media/media_releases/2011/254
#7 Posted by Megan Y, CJR on Wed 14 Sep 2011 at 06:22 AM
The USA is strangling itself with taxes and regulations, while other countries, such as China and India, have been freeing the private sector. Let's all work to reduce the size, scope, and expense of government in the USA. The government's loss is society's gain.
#8 Posted by John Gleason, CJR on Sun 2 Oct 2011 at 01:05 PM
The story here is that U.S. corporations have no obligation to create jobs here, they are merely global enterprises that happened to be headquartered in the U.S. As U.C. Berkeley Economics Professor Robert Reich notes, "The American economy has moved way beyond outsourcing abroad or even 'in-sourcing.' Most big companies headquartered in America don't send jobs overseas and don't bring jobs here from abroad.
That's because most are no longer really 'American' companies. They've become global networks that design, make, buy, and sell things wherever around the world it's most profitable for them to do so." He added "As an Apple executive told the New York Times, 'we don't have an obligation to solve America's problems. Our only obligation is making the best product possible" adding "He might have added 'and showing profits big enough to continually increase our share price.'" However, he rightly states" "Forget the debate over outsourcing. The real question is how to make Americans so competitive that all global companies — whether or not headquartered in the United States — will create good jobs in America.
What's going on? Put simply, America isn't educating enough of our people well enough to get American-based companies to do more of their high-value added work here.
Our K-12 school system isn't nearly up to what it should be. American students continue to do poorly in math and science relative to students in other advanced countries. Japan, Germany, South Korea, Canada, Australia, Ireland, Sweden, and France all top us.
American universities continue to rank high but many are being starved of government funds and are having trouble keeping up. More and more young Americans and their families can't afford a college education. China, by contrast, is investing like mad in world-class universities and research centers.
Transportation and communication systems abroad are also becoming better and more reliable. In case you hadn't noticed, American roads are congested, our bridges are in disrepair, and our ports are becoming outmoded.
So forget the debate over outsourcing. The way we get good jobs back is with a national strategy to make Americans more competitive — retooling our schools, getting more of our young people through college or giving them a first-class technical education, remaking our infrastructure, and thereby guaranteeing a large share of Americans add significant value to the global economy.
But big American-based companies aren't pushing this agenda, despite their huge clout in Washington. They don't care about making Americans more competitive. They say they have no obligation to solve America's problems.
They want lower corporate taxes, lower taxes for their executives, fewer regulations, and less public spending. And to achieve these goals they maintain legions of lobbyists and are pouring boatloads of money into political campaigns. The Supreme Court even says they're "people" under the First Amendment, and can contribute as much as they want to political campaigns – even in secret.
The core problem isn't outsourcing. It's that the prosperity of America's big businesses – which are really global networks that happen to be headquartered here – has become disconnected from the well-being of most Americans.
#9 Posted by Scott S, CJR on Fri 3 Aug 2012 at 04:33 PM