Of all the commentary this week on China, none got to the heart of the problem anywhere near as well as Steven Pearlstein did in the Washington Post.
American trade policies toward China are a giant WTF—something akin to a boxer agreeing to fight straight while letting his opponent bring weapons into the ring, bribe the judges, and pay off the ref. Free trade for me but not for thee, and that’s okay, we say.
And so as China brazenly breaks trade rules in order to gain dominance of critical future industries at astonishing speeds, the U.S. whines (too late) to the World Trade Organization, which will do nothing.
So what does Pearlstein propose instead? Reciprocity:
The right response to these challenges would be for the president this week to laud China for the success of its economic policies and announce that the administration will begin forthwith to apply each and every one of them to Chinese exports into the United States. Subsidies and directed credit for local companies, buy-American provisions for government agencies and government contractors, currency manipulation, the rules on “conditional market access” and “indigenous innovation” - surely China could hardly complain if we were to pay them the highest compliment by embracing their economic model.
Why wouldn’t we do this? Why don’t we do it already—and not just with China but with everybody we trade with?
For instance, Obama’s recent, much-ballyhooed trade agreement with South Korea (“Could Mean Thousands Of US Jobs,” was the AP’s credulous headline) eliminates both countries’ tariffs on car imports over the next several years. But how is it “free trade” when the Koreans will effectively still limit imports of American cars to 75,000 a year? Meantime, South Korea will sell us about a million cars this year—more than half of which will be made over there.
That’s why South Korea could confidently say last month that “the revised free trade agreement with the U.S. is mutually beneficial and won’t hurt the nation’s carmakers.”
Which brings us back to Pearlstein’s point: Why don’t we give the same as we get? And particularly with China?
Pearlstein:
To start things off, the administration might announce its intention to block the joint venture Hu intends to announce later this week with General Electric. GE already sells lots of engines to China for all those Boeing and Airbus jets it buys. Now GE is hoping to get the contract to provide avionics to the state-owned Commercial Aircraft Corp. of China, which intends to go into direct competition with Boeing. What better way than by forming a 50-50 joint venture with Aviation Industry Corp. of China, another state-owned firm?
In addition to $200 million, GE will be contributing technology to the partnership that will operate as the avionics brain for Boeing’s new 787 Dreamliner. And going forward, the partners will jointly develop new radars, controls and guidance system at a jointly run research and development laboratory that is already under construction. Call me cynical, but this sure sounds as if one of America’s leading technology companies has decided to sell some of this country’s crown jewels to ensure access to China’s rigged market, potentially jeopardizing the competitive advantage enjoyed by this country’s leading export industry.
Can anyone explain why we do this? What’s the logic?
Ryan,
What you are calling for amounts to Mutually Applied Destruction and further entrenchment and aggrandizement of govt-preferred corporate elite.
As I pointed out in your earlier China/trade post, mercantilism benefits only the lobbying interests, bureaucrats, and electioneers, while hurting consumers and smaller businesses.
Protectionism is the tool of the mercantilist, and mercantilism is the means to monopoly.
#1 Posted by Dan A., CJR on Fri 21 Jan 2011 at 08:14 PM
I surmise that you're inclined to disagree with non-interventionist free-market economics; but when you step back for a bit, you will see how impractical and destructive such protectionist warfare has been and will be.
Please put aside just a few minutes to read up on the history of punishment-by-protectionism:
-- Recent history: Vietnamese catfish, Chinese textiles, Korean computer chips, and Canadian Rx drugs (2003).
-- 16th century–present: "Mercantilism as the Economic Aspect of Absolutism" (1995). Excerpt:
"Mercantilism has been called by various historians or observers a 'system of Power or State-building' (Eli Heckscher), a system of systematic state privilege, particularly in restricting imports or subsidizing exports (Adam Smith), or a faulty set of economic theories, including protectionism and the alleged necessity for piling up bullion in a country. In fact, mercantilism was all of these things; it was a comprehensive system of state-building, state privilege, and what might be called 'state monopoly capitalism.'"
It should be no wonder, then, why all these industrial and financial giants accompanied Obama to his meeting with the Chinese president:
Microsoft
Goldman Sachs
Boeing
General Electric
Westinghouse
Coca Cola
Dupont
Cargill
HSBC Holdings
Carlyle Group
Intel
Dow Chemical
You don't suppose they are expecting monopolistic trade privileges, do you?
Granted, some good could come out of such a meeting, but only if a deal is struck whereby trade restrictions are mutually and universally lifted — i.e., not only for those special interests.
#2 Posted by Dan A., CJR on Fri 21 Jan 2011 at 08:20 PM
See also:
-- "A Closer Look at China's Currency Manipulation," by Jonathan M. Finegold Catalan (4/23/10)
-- "China — A Paper Tiger," by Justin Raimondo (1/21/11)
#3 Posted by Dan A., CJR on Fri 21 Jan 2011 at 10:07 PM
Dan A., China is the mercantilist here. We are beyond stupid to practice one-way free trade with a mercantilist.
#4 Posted by Ryan Chittum, CJR on Mon 24 Jan 2011 at 02:02 PM
I think what you have to say here is interesting, but short-sighted. I think that economist Will Milberg, writing on DeliberatelyConsidered.com, explained the variables which have effected the US-China trade policies very well.
What you don’t seem to take into account is the change in buying power related to the stagnate American household income and the need to promote buying in China, which is all but inevitable. As inflation continues there, the balance of payments could and should adjust. The buying power of the American household continues to decrease; the buying power of China increases. Encouraging American exports to China is a better policy than sticking our heads in the sand and pretending we can live isolated in a globalized world.
#5 Posted by Jeffrey C. Goldfarb, CJR on Mon 24 Jan 2011 at 03:18 PM
Yes, the Chinese govt is mercantilist, but so is the U.S. govt. And Chinese mercantilism hurts everyday Chinese just as U.S. mercantilism hurts everyday Americans. But the greatest danger is an escalating trade war, which is virtually always driven by economic misconceptions, political expediency, and collectivist (nationalist, ethnic, etc.) animosity. This is why I cited the articles above, esp. the ones by Catalan and Raimondo.
#6 Posted by Dan A., CJR on Mon 24 Jan 2011 at 03:25 PM