What an eye-grabber! “ExxonMobil: Green Company of Year.” I mean, who woulda thunk it?
Too bad the provocative headline of Forbes’s current cover story is little more than cheap window dressing. Worse still, its unnecessary hyperbole detracts from what could have been an interesting piece about the oil giant’s high-risk, high-reward bets on natural gas. The article, by Christopher Helman, reasons that power plants will burn Exxon’s gas in the place of comparatively dirty coal, thereby offsetting tens of millions of tons of carbon-dioxide emissions each year.
That’s a reasonable expectation. The federal Energy Information Administration projects that most new power plants in the United States will burn natural gas, which releases around 25 to 50 percent fewer greenhouse-gas emissions than coal, depending on how you count. So Helman is right. Burning more gas in place of coal is, without a doubt, better for the planet. But it is not good for the planet. And ExxonMobil is certainly not a “green” company.
Natural gas is currently responsible for about 20 percent of U.S. carbon-dioxide emissions. As such, energy experts often describe it as a “bridge” to renewable energy sources like wind and solar, but no lasting solution to the threat of global warming. Helman’s piece misses the nuances of this concept. Instead of analyzing natural gas’s role in the pantheon of energy options, the article blindly declares that “the engineering solution to the matter of carbon in the atmosphere [is to] drill for natural gas.” That overzealous proclamation smacks of the naïve, silver-bullet reporting that has often plagued energy coverage. A recent study by Carnegie Mellon projected that replacing all coal burning with natural gas would significantly reduce greenhouse-gas emissions, but not enough to meet scientifically recommended targets for mitigating climate change. Moreover, it’s fairly ridiculous to suggest, as Helman does in the beginning of his piece, that natural gas will replace all coal burning any time in the near future.
One might still argue that ExxonMobil stands to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions more than any other single entity. But bear in mind that its gas hasn’t accomplished much of anything yet. Helman’s article—which is actually a piece about ExxonMobil’s involvement in a massive liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in Qatar, and not the company’s “greenness”—fails to make this explicit. Only one of its four plants in Qatar is currently up and running—and even when the other three come on line early next year, there is no certainty about how robust the market for LNG will be.
Natural gas prices “plummeted” to a seven-year low on Friday, according to an article in The New York Times. The reason is abundant supply and low demand. In June, the paper reported that, due to new and advanced drilling technologies, estimated domestic reserves are now 35 percent higher than before. The low cost of gas makes Exxon’s projects in Qatar, where the gas has to be liquefied and shipped to consumers, as well as Alaska, which lacks a pipeline to bring the gas to the lower U.S., much less cost-effective, if at all.
Helman’s article does a great job of fleshing out this point. High in the piece, he notes that “natural gas looks like a terrible business” right now and later questions whether “ExxonMobil will be able to recoup its Qatar costs.” He also acknowledges “ExxonMobil isn’t going after gas out of a pure love for the environment. It’s doing so because it’s running out of oil. The company’s production of crude is down 12% in the past three years to 2.3 million barrels a day.”
Unfortunately, rather going any deeper into the inherent limitations of an energy supply based on fossil fuels, Helman concludes that “Windmills and solar panels might make us feel good, but a better solution might be to give bad ol’ Big Oil the chance to develop our own bountiful supplies of natural gas.” The much, much stronger conclusion about the importance of natural gas as a bridge to windmills and solar panels flew straight over his head.
The tawdry headline about ExxonMobil being Green Company of the Year is just a gimmick, albeit one that many news outlets have employed in similar articles. Fortune, The Independent, CNBC, and others have all taken a turn at compiling a list of the “greenest companies.” One difference between these lists and the Forbes article is that they use a variety of criteria, rather than just one, to measure companies’ greenness (a terribly vague word, at any rate). Still, the criteria are fairly inconsistent from one piece to the next, and no two outlets produced identical rosters.
“Compiling the list was challenging, for two reasons,” Marc Gunther, a contributing editor who helped produce Fortune’s “Green Giants” in 2007, wrote on his blog. “First, so many companies are doing so much good work on environmental issues that selecting 10 green leaders proved harder than we expected. Second, we struggled to decide what criteria to use – the company with the most impact? The lightest environmental footprint? The most innovative ideas? In the end, we consulted with about a dozen experts and made a bunch of frankly subjective picks.”
The government is no help either. The Environmental Protection Agency produces a quarterly list of “top partners” in its Green Power Partnership, a voluntary program that encourages companies to purchase energy from renewable sources. The list of top partners comprises those that have purchased the most. That’s a fairly limited assessment, but still a cut above Forbes’s natural-gas argument.
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I'm hoping that the media begin to cover ExxonMobil fully and credibly, shining light on all relevant parts of "the whole elephant", and watching what both sides of its mouth say -- because there's a big difference.
To the media, I say "PLEASE!"
I also say, "DO YOUR JOBS!"
According to a simple calculation, ExxonMobil products, when used as fuel, generate an amount of CO2 in a single year that weighs MORE THAN THE ENTIRE WEIGHT OF ALL HUMANS ON EARTH. That's A LOT of CO2! In one year. Just from ExxonMobil.
And, ExxonMobil employs about 80,000 people, worldwide. That's only about one fourth of the number of people who work for General Electric, and less than one twentieth of the 2.1 million people who work for WalMart.
Indeed, there are many more public school teachers in California alone (over 300,000) than the total number of people working worldwide for ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Conoco Phillips added together (about 175,000).
I could go on and on. Wait 'til you hear what Rex Tillerson said two years ago in an important speech, relative to what he told The New York Times about a year ago.
Sigh.
Great column, Curtis. Thanks,
Jeff
Posted by Jeff Huggins on Tue 25 Aug 2009 at 01:50 AM
I read the link from your self proclaimed "energy experts, and I had to ask what makes Wirth and Podesta "energy experts"? Surely involvement with the United Nations Foundation or being a political hack for the Clinton administration qualifies one for being an expert on "something", but is that something energy? Have either of these two worked on any projects that developed, generated or delivered so much as one BTU of energy?
I could see how someone with a journalism degree might think that these two are “experts”, but with so many highly qualified persons in the world to talk to, why were these two chosen?
Are the people pushing for large integrations of solar and wind power aware of the consequences of adding more than a few % of variable output power generation to our transmission and distribution infrastructure?
Posted by Carl Schmidt on Tue 25 Aug 2009 at 08:47 AM
Whether or not you agree with John Podesta’s politics, he certainly qualifies as an energy expert, though perhaps I should have written energy policy expert. And it is not necessarily his relationship with the United Nations Foundation or the Clinton administration that qualifies him as such, but rather his leadership at the Center for American Progress, where energy policy is a central priority.
At any rate, the point was not to single out Podesta or the Center for American Progress as the experts to consult on natural gas bridge theory. I was merely looking for a quick, concise explanation of the concept. Granted, I might have searched for a more policy-neutral explanation. I think it’s pretty interesting to note, however, that organizations with starkly divergent points of view, such as ExxonMobil and the Center for American Progress, back bridge theory (although in different ways). For other expert opinions, one could also consult, The Pickens Plan, The Pew Center on Global Climate Change, or The Green Grok.
Posted by Curtis Brainard on Tue 25 Aug 2009 at 10:41 AM
Just a few quick thoughts on the notion of using natural gas as a key "bridge".
Although it might or might not be a good idea -- I haven't done the analyses to know one way or the other -- I do have some concerns.
First, I seriously wonder whether people have done a thorough, fact-based, realistic, "all in" analysis of the net impact on CO2 of this "bridge" approach? And, relative to what? Are we only comparing gas to coal, making the assumption that solar and wind and etc. are out of the question during this bridge period, for the purposes that the coal or gas will satisfy?
Second, there is also the question of whether society can and will make two transitions -- using gas as a bridge, and then making a final transition to genuine renewables. As we can see, society doesn't turn on a dime, and I'm beginning to wonder whether good thinking and planning have anything to do with how society is operating these days. It is a big question -- a VERY big one -- whether we have the intelligence, will, and ability to adopt such a two-step transition plan?
Third, people should examine ExxonMobil and understand "it", or them, and realize that if ExxonMobil is doing something large, they're doing it for the money alone, in all likelihood. Just look at their forecasts and their actions. They might periodically say that they want to address global warming, or that it should be addressed, when it serves their narrow interests to say so, but just look at their actual actions and forecasts. They talk out of both sides of their mouth, and their actions favor more oil, and more oil, and more gas, and (in general) hydrocarbon-based energy sources for decades to come.
Also, one must think of where the money goes. Even in a transition period, to gain whatever benefit gas has over coal, would we rather pay overseas owners of gas (in the case of this ExxonMobil thing) for their gas, or would we be better off getting energy from the sun and wind right away, paying (much lower amounts) to people here in the U.S. on whose land the sun shines and the wind blows? It's not only a matter of cost: It's also a matter of where the money goes and whether it circulates back into local economies. Would you like to know who will get most of the money if ExxonMobil produces gas from overseas, ships it here, and sells it to utilities?
So, although (on paper) gas generates less CO2 than coal, to be sure, I'm still skeptical about this overall "bridge" plan. Nobody has explained to me why it doesn't make much more sense just to embark, quickly, on a plan that involves solar energy, wind, geothermal, and etc., along with energy storage approaches and the necessary transmission improvements.
Cheers,
Jeff
Posted by Jeff Huggins on Tue 25 Aug 2009 at 11:57 AM
Forbes should be ashamed of itself for failing to do basic reporting. Had it dug, it would have discovered that LNG is no energy bargain at all.
The physical acts of compressing methane to one six-hundredth of its normal volume, loading it onto tankers, shipping it across the globe and regasifying it take a lot of energy, That energy is generated by burning gas at the gasification train, by burning bunker oil as the tankers ply the seas, and (in most cases) burning gas at the receiving station to warm it up.
Another Carnegie Mellon study has found that the life-cycle emissions of greenhouse gas are so large from LNG that its "clean" benefits evaporate in a cloud of CO2.
The state of California made similar findings in 2007 when it rejected a "clean bridge fuel" gateway proposed by Australian interests off the coast of Malibu.
Forbes has shown, in its news coverage, to be unable to separate puffery from facts.
Hans Laetz
California LNG News Service
Zuma Beach CA
Posted by Hans Laetz on Wed 26 Aug 2009 at 10:44 AM
Curtis,
You inadvertently hit the nail on the head when you narrowed your description of Podesta as an “energy policy expert” instead of an “energy expert”. Being a policy expert is a matter of law and being an energy expert is a matter of being an engineering/business expertise. In other words, they know laws, not energy. Or to put it another way, who would you rather remove a inflamed appendix: a surgeon or an “expert” on surgeons? As much as you may personally dislike entities and organizations such as Halliburton, the API, Shell, EPRI (its kind of amazing that you didn’t mention them), ASME and the like, they are the energy experts.
What was/is missing from all of the “expert opinions” you mentioned is cost. They are advocating for a policy that will cost tens of trillions of dollars over the 30-40 year timeline they are talking about. And if you or the “experts” begin talking about all the “jobs” its going to create, please refresh yourself with the broken window parable.
Coal fired plants currently account for 340,000 MW of our current nameplate capacity, how much will it cost to replace all of that with gas and erect the T&D infrastructure necessary to integrate renewable and are there any better alternatives?
Nuclear would certainly seem to fit the bill for being cheaper, more reliable and more easily integrated into our existing grid, but it never seems to get top billing.
At any rate, with the kind of one sided dishonest propaganda coming out of organizations like ProPublica, any domestic expansion of natural gas production may very well be killed in its infancy leaving us in the boat of importing the natural gas we need power this scheme.
Posted by Carl Schmidt on Wed 26 Aug 2009 at 12:28 PM
Carl -- Agreed. API, Shell, and EPRI all qualify as energy experts as well, and I don't think I ever implied otherwise. The only reason I didn't mention them is that this whole piece is about ExxonMobil, whose position on natural gas resembles their positions closely enough. Here's a good piece from E&E News on EPRI's latest energy forecast. Or get it from the horse's mouth.
You are right, however, that no matter which expert opinion you choose to consult, there are problems with natural gas bridge theory. Cost and other market conditions are one issue. Storage and delivery are another. Time ran an interesting column today discussing many of these points and arguing that a glut of cheap natural gas is "no reason to party."
Posted by Curtis Brainard on Thu 27 Aug 2009 at 11:50 AM