During my years as a daily TV journalist in Boston, I covered a seemingly endless string of risks: from the run-of the mill threats like car crashes and plane crashes and fires and crime, to artificial sweeteners (yes, I’m that old) and air bags and silicone breast implants and the “new” epidemic of child abductions, to a depressingly rich litany of environmental risks. I tried to do it well, and won a bunch of awards. Then I left TV news and joined the Harvard School of Public Health, and discovered a lot of details about risk that would have made me a better reporter had I known about them back when I was reporting.
Risk is more than just a number one in a million. It’s more than just saying some scary thing is out there “Suspected Carcinogen in Coffee”. There are important aspects to risk that I never provided my viewers because I never knew what questions to ask. The people who depended on me for the information that would help them make healthy choices were disserved, and possibly even harmed, by my failure. I wasn’t alone, of course. Plenty of my colleagues in broadcast and print—the best of them—did the same thing. Our reporting was inherently deficient because we just didn’t know that there are important details without which a story about a risk is simply incomplete. This still happens all the time, even at the very best news organizations.
So in the hope of contributing to better journalism, here are some basic “Who, What, When, Where, Why, and How” questions to answer about risk that will help journalists cover these stories more thoroughly and give readers/viewers/listeners all the information they need to know just how risky something may actually be. (And, by the way, none of the details described below are complicated, hard to understand, or take more than a sentence or so to squeeze into any story.)
For something to actually be a risk, you need two elements: a hazard and exposure to the hazard. Either component creates the potential for risk and is therefore a story by itself, but an actual risk to people only exists if there is some hazard and exposure to it. A poisonous snake is hazardous, but not a risk if it’s in a cage and we’re not exposed. A snake on the loose to which we are exposed is not a risk unless it’s poisonous. That something is a hazard is a story, of course. That we are exposed to some worrisome thing is, too. But for there to be an actual risk, you have to have both. If you are reporting on just the hazard (“Substance X May Cause Cancer”) or just the exposure (“Trace Amounts of Human-made Chemicals in our Blood”), readers won’t know whether they are actually at risk.
Hazard and exposure both have critical details. Here are the biggies regarding hazard:
Hazard - How much? Dose matters, yet you’d be astonished how often that information never shows up in risk stories. Stories often say something like “Substance X causes Y,” but they fail to say how much of substance X it takes. Sometimes there is no bright line—a specific dose above which there is hazard and below which there isn’t—and the best science can come up with are frustratingly vague “guidelines.” Sometimes there’s a threshold dose below which the hazard isn’t hazardous, and in most cases the greater the dose above that threshold, the greater the risk. But not always. Sometimes small doses are believed to be the riskiest (endocrine disruptors), and with things that cause cancer, the standard scientific assumption is that any dose is potentially hazardous. Then there’s the new toxicology that has found that sometimes things that are hazardous at high doses may actually be good for you at low ones (even carcinogens!). In any event, a story without information about dose is missing a basic fact the reader needs.
A very good article. I'm a journalism major and I found it very informative.
#1 Posted by Michael Grover, CJR on Sun 13 Mar 2011 at 05:42 PM
Excelent article!
#2 Posted by Mike H, CJR on Mon 14 Mar 2011 at 09:22 AM
Are you kidding me, CJR? I turn to CJR for smart analysis of news coverage and the media. I don't expect it to be a forum for an industry-backed shill -- I expect it to EXPOSE the hacks.
Ropeik's time at "the Harvard School for Public Health" was actually spent at a sub-unit called the Center for Risk Analysis, which took industry money to develop industry-friendly propaganda and get it out into the news media. Its former director, John Graham, frequently got misinformation out there, and at least once he had to roll back his views once they were finally subjected to peer review. Read more at http://www.citizen.org/documents/grahamrpt.pdf
His piece here is a continuation of his work at the industry-backed Center for Risk Analysis. Questions for CJR:
- Have you actually looked into Ropeik's record on these issues? At all?
- Is he getting industry money now?
- Is he getting money from right-wing foundations or think tanks?
- Why does his bio in the side of this piece not mention his time at the industry-backed Center for Risk Analysis?
- What is CJR's rationale for giving Ropeik a forum without any critical analysis of his views?
#3 Posted by Are You Kidding Me?, CJR on Mon 14 Mar 2011 at 12:59 PM
CJR, the sidebar bio for Ropeik notes that he is "a consultant in risk communication." For whom is he consulting? And does this piece have any connection with his consulting work -- that is, does he have any consulting contracts for influencing media coverage of risk? Does this piece have any connection with his clients' agendas?
#4 Posted by Are You Kidding Me?, CJR on Mon 14 Mar 2011 at 02:56 PM
Um, If this were some opinionated or apologetic piece, towing some industry line or making some controversial point, Ropeik's industry ties would be very relevant and would make him a dubious choice to write the story. But it's a freakin basic info piece, one that actually provides some very good and commonly overlooked details that non-science journalists might find pretty useful.
Calm down, "are you kidding me."
#5 Posted by calm down, CJR on Tue 15 Mar 2011 at 12:20 AM
> "But it's a freakin basic info piece"
...with some pieces missing.
#6 Posted by Anna Haynes, CJR on Tue 15 Mar 2011 at 03:23 PM
It's hardly surprising that comments seeking to discredit the author come from someone who hides behind anonymity. Guess who has more credibility with me? It's not a news story or a research piece that requires peer review. It's an opinion column that offers some excellent advice based on years of experience. Rather than attack it, perhaps learn from it.
#7 Posted by Robert R. Francis, CJR on Wed 16 Mar 2011 at 09:11 AM
Dear areyoukidding me,
I wrote the piece as a former environmental journalist who would have been a better journalist back in the day had I known then what I've learned since. Not paid by anybody to do it, nor influenced by anybody.
As to whether I'm in some right wing pocket, read this and tell me what you think. http://bit.ly/f6V1JM
As to my background, of which I made my editor at CJR fully aware, full details at www.dropeik.com. Go to the clients link. You'll find good guys and bad guys, and colleges, and consumer groups, and ten years on the board of directors of the Society of Environmental Journalists, and a whole lot of stuff that paints a fuller picture from which you can judge for yourself. John Graham is one person. I'm somebody else.
Dear Anna Haynes, what pieces are missing? If the piece can be improved, let's improve it.
#8 Posted by David Ropeik, CJR on Wed 16 Mar 2011 at 05:41 PM
I'm sorry to weigh in late to this conversation. I've been distracted by news coming out of Japan, but should have come to David's defense—as I'm happy to see others already have—much earlier. David is a well credentialed expert in the field of risk analysis and more than qualified to write for CJR or any other publication. We are happy to run his thoughtful analyses of risk reporting in the media and appreciate his contributions. We are also well aware of his professional background and consulting work. In the past, I have asked David to add a potential conflict of interest disclaimer to his writing for CJR when it concerned a topic that related to his consulting work, and he happily agreed. In the the case of this risk-reporting primer, such a disclaimer was unnecessary. David has the full support of CJR and we admonish anonymous, ad hominem attacks on his credibility that do not raise any substantive arguments with his work.
#9 Posted by Curtis Brainard, CJR on Mon 21 Mar 2011 at 10:33 AM