A little more than a year ago, there was a feeling among many editors and reporters that the climate-change story had, in a sense, progressed since the release of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) watershed Fourth Assessment Report in 2007.
Following the release of that report, coverage of climate science soared, with innumerable articles laying out the basics of the greenhouse effect, the carbon cycle, and how scientists know the Earth is warming at an unusual pace and why human industry is most likely responsible. Appropriately, articles quickly moved on to stories about the politics and economics associated with addressing the problem. To a large extent, the climate story became the energy story.
Then came the unauthorized release of a large cache of controversial e-mails from prominent scientists in the United Kingdom and United States, the failure of the Copenhagen climate summit, the revelation of minor errors in the IPCC’s 2007 report, and the failure of climate legislation in Congress. As my colleague Cristine Russell recently pointed out, “It’s been a challenging time for the climate change story on just about every front.”
The adversity is causing some journalists to revisit the basics of climate science in a very satisfying way, however. Two articles on Wednesday offered great refreshers on why scientists know two very important things: that atmospheric carbon dioxide is rising and that global temperature is rising. As the Knight Science Journalism Tracker observed, the long features “provide a serious, handy, collective guide to the yin and yang of observational climatology’s primary jobs these days - explaining and measuring global warming.”
The New York Times’s Justin Gillis was responsible for the piece about measuring the steady increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide. In essence, it is a profile of the scientist Charles D. Keeling, who died in 2005, how he learned to measure the concentration of CO2 in the air, and how he charted its rise along with the help of his son, Ralph, who carries on his work. As the Tracker’s Charlie Petit pointed out, it’s a story that “has been told many times,” but the front-page treatment, followed by a double-truck after the jump, was a high-profile way to reintroduce readers to the famous (among scientists, at least) Keeling Curve. Moreover, Gillis also weaves in the parallel story of the so far fruitless efforts to restrict global greenhouse-gas emissions, bringing readers right up to the recent United Nations summit in Cancún.
The smart decision to ground the explanatory science in current events was also on display in the article about why scientists know worldwide temperatures are rising, which was written for Climate Central by Tom Yulsman, co-director of the University of Colorado’s Center for Environmental Journalism. The piece starts with a newsy discrepancy: NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) recently announced that November was the warmest November on record, while the National Climatic Data Center said it was the second warmest November. From there it provides an excellent explanation of three primary groups that track surface temperatures, their methods, how they handle gaps and biases in their data, and, most importantly, why the groups’ datasets are in close agreement, despite the fact they’re not identical.
Side-by-side, Gillis and Yulsman’s articles explain the two most fundamental phenomena underlying global warming - rising carbon dioxide and rising temperatures. Neither piece really discusses the bridge in the relationship - temperature’s “sensitivity” to increasing carbon dioxide. Thankfully, Gillis got to write this follow-up post on the Times’s Green blog.
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Climate Change was to academia what nasty priests were to religion.
#1 Posted by Meme Mine, CJR on Thu 23 Dec 2010 at 05:18 PM
Meme Mine, perhaps you could explain your need to carry water for oil and coal companies. Are you an executive for those companies, or, is it just an ideology thing?
#2 Posted by Ron Rosenthal, CJR on Thu 23 Dec 2010 at 06:57 PM
I'm not sure whose side I'm on, but I cannot wait to find out who's right.
What happens in the worst case scenario of 18-22F change?
The world population was forecast to outgrow our ability to feed it back in 1972, but things changed and we can do it. (environmentalist feel free to comment on what that's doing to the earth, I'm right there with you.) Then, in the 90's we were told that the Ozone was depleted and we were all going to get skin cancer (or something, I was high for most of the 90's). And now it's the CO2 levels. You'll have to pardon some of us rationalists if we say that we're going to wait this one out too.
I'm not carrying water for anyone but me and mine, by the way.
#3 Posted by Dale, CJR on Thu 23 Dec 2010 at 09:26 PM
Give it up already...the climate hoax was exposed as more and more people see how they were duped...it's only a matter of time till someone renown tells it like it really is and this whole deck of cards (Global Warming / Climate Change or whatever) comes tumbling down.
And then we will move on to the next scam / hoax to try and sucker Joe Shmo to pay money because if we don't, the whole world will implode or something!
#4 Posted by PeterK, CJR on Thu 23 Dec 2010 at 10:00 PM
Yes 100% of the scientists totally agreed, in full consensus, that the effects of CO2 would most definitely be:
-"little if anything".
to
-"unstoppable warming".
No wonder climate change was to big to fail. Still, fail it has and fail it will and the fake state of emergency wasn’t sustainable with the public voters for another 24 years of hysterical warnings. No? Well, YOU are the new denier then. Just remove the mistake of the CO2 and continue GREEN anew! The news editors should not be able to walk away from 24 years of needless panic they caused. We missed Bush, let’s get these neocons of fear mongering in the mainscream media into the courts. We don't have to enjoy scaring our kids like this any longer. Meanwhile, the UN had allowed carbon trading to trump 3rd world fresh water relief, starvation rescue and 3rd world education for just over 24 years of climate control instead of needed population control.
#5 Posted by Scietists are lab coat consultants for sale, CJR on Thu 23 Dec 2010 at 11:50 PM
"The world population was forecast to outgrow our ability to feed it back in 1972, but things changed and we can do it. (environmentalist feel free to comment on what that's doing to the earth, I'm right there with you.) Then, in the 90's we were told that the Ozone was depleted and we were all going to get skin cancer (or something, I was high for most of the 90's). And now it's the CO2 levels. You'll have to pardon some of us rationalists if we say that we're going to wait this one out too."
Totally right. People made these dramatic predictions, things changed, and the results were less dramatic than the predictions indicated.
However, the things that changed were us. We saw the predictions, we changed practices, we changed the results.
In the case of 1972 starvation, it was the green revolution (and yes there are negative impacts which we will need to discuss in the next few years).
In the 1980's we had CFC cap and trade program brought about by the Montreal Protocol.
In the case of CO2... well we're not doing anything, since the size of the problem (every mode of modern transportation minus electric trains and a few other exceptions) and the size of the interests involved (the entire fossil fuel energy industry) are preventing any action from being taken.
Since that is the case, we are not changing - not enough, not fast enough.
Since that is the case, the results are matching, if not exceeding, the worst case predictions.
We're not going to avoid the worst case predictions by doing nothing but wait and see. Those predictions are based on the assumption that we're going to do nothing, something utterly unthinkable when confronted by past existential crisises.
#6 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Fri 24 Dec 2010 at 02:15 AM
Well, if things get to 18-22 degrees hotter, don't blame me. I'd like to do whatever it takes to prevent that, because that radical of a change would probably cause the deaths of billions of people and millions of species. On the other hand, I have no kids, so if the general consensus is 'let's burn the place down THIS generation', well, okay, but sheesh, that next generation - and all that follow - are gonna really hate us. They won't be MY kids hating us - since I chose to have none - which is some comfort I guess.
Incidentally, there WAS an ozone problem, along with acid-rain. I recall peoples' rooves having to be replaced years early, statues degrading, car paint problems. We instituted a cap and trade system under the Clean Air Act and the acid rain problem disappeared, and the ozone is healing, though it will take many more years.
The alarm over food security (in light of escalating population) in the past was well-warranted. And how DID we solve that? Ah yes, industrialized farming, which is the use of land to convert fossil fuels into food. Now we're running out of fossil fuels. And how are those grocery store prices these days? Yeah, escalating. As the fossil fuels run down, our ability to produce food is going to drop - and the prices will spike radically. A changing climate exacerbates that problem - farmers in Minnesota have had FOUR '100-year floods' in the last seven years, they're having major problems getting crops out, and many are going bankrupt.
Expect food prices to be at LEAST triple what they are today, within ten years, and that's after adjusting for inflation. It might even be worse than that. That'll suck peoples' incomes into energy and food, leaving less for anything else, which means we won't need as many jobs doing that 'anything else', which means higher unemployment, recessions, etc, etc.
#7 Posted by Jon, CJR on Fri 24 Dec 2010 at 10:08 AM
It's a simple case of radical Millenniarianism, taken over by liberal progressives to advocate for one world government.
As such, any true science in the movement has been twisted and distorted to forward the radical agenda. Without than influence, much more rational discussion on the subject would have been possible.
As it is, the subject has become so politicized that personalites have become fused to one side or the other. Too bad. Shot yourself in the foot on this one.
#8 Posted by JackPoynter, CJR on Fri 24 Dec 2010 at 11:53 AM
The volcanic eruption in Iceland last year in just FOUR DAYS, NEGATED EVERY SINGLE EFFORT you have made in the past five years to control CO2 emissions on our planet - all of you.
I should also mention that when the volcano Mt Pinatubo erupted in the Philippines in 1991, it spewed out more greenhouse gases into the atmosphere than the entire human race had emitted in its entire YEARS on earth. Mt Pinatubo was active for over one year - think about it.
So you think we humans can make a difference!
#9 Posted by PeterK, CJR on Fri 24 Dec 2010 at 02:25 PM
Peterk, I believe you are referring to statements made by Limbaugh in '94 which was a rephrasing of Sowell's comments in the 1/14/94 New York Post. It refered to chlorine release which is washed out of the atmosphere quite quickly. It affects ozone, not greenhouse gases. Your numbers invite scrutiny. Please provide viable data and sourcing, other than Limbaugh, otherwise your point is somewhat dull.
#10 Posted by wdp, CJR on Fri 24 Dec 2010 at 04:04 PM
None of the 24 computer models used by the IPCC can account for the fact that there has been NO statistically significant warming of the globe in the last 15 years... PERIOD.
This is just the "inconvenient truth". Even the AGWists running the scam are forced to admit that the failure of the globe to actually warm in last decade and a half is a "travesty".
The AGW nonsense is nothing but a crock of silly crap. EVERYBODY knows it - polls consistently place global warming about three rungs lower than duck pin bowling in the esteem of the American public.
My family has been visiting the same hotel at Virginia Beach for more than 50 years. The proprietors haven't had to raise it an inch in that time.
This isn't about climate. It's about the same silly commie/liberal redistribution of wealth schtick that we've seen for 150 years.
The Warmingists are nothing but misguided anti-capitalists. They aren't after CO2 spewers like China, Brazil or India to pay off the third world - just the US and the Euros. They don't care about analyzing global climate seriously (they certainly can't stomach any discussion of the huge benefits of global warming, were it really to happen). They feign pining for the imaginary hyperthermal polar bears cast adrift in the AGW floodwaters, yet curiously hold no sympathy whatsoever for the poor frozen parrots whose icy carcasses will litter the equatorial permafrost if the Warmingists were actually capable of succeeding in the absurd goal of lowering the global thermostat.
It's a true shame that press is so loaded with these daft hippies, that it gives the AGWists more cover than it gave John Edwards.
#11 Posted by padikiller, CJR on Mon 27 Dec 2010 at 02:25 PM
I assume that if the rhetoric is invective I can dismiss the content of the post?
Sad that serious conversation is waylaid by canned snarlishness. there are interesting questions to raise about science, but wholesale massacre is probably not warranted.
#12 Posted by doug carmichael, CJR on Sun 9 Jan 2011 at 09:16 PM