CHARLOTTE — During Barack Obama’s acceptance speech, I was simultaneously live-blogging for Yahoo News, tweeting my reactions (“The Lincoln line ‘…the world will little note nor long remember…’ so far applies to this speech”) into the ether, and worrying about getting a Friday morning cab to the airport amid the post-convention exodus. For those who care about my reasoning (both of you), I found the speech to be devoid of surprise, with little to prompt a wavering voter to jump up and cry, “Wow. I never thought about it that way.”
But as I hope I made clear during the long evening of crazed multi-tasking, my short-burst commentary was the aesthetic judgment of a former White House speechwriter rather than a verdict on the Obama campaign’s political strategy. My judgments were not much different than my personal disappointment, loudly expressed at dinner parties, with the Public Theater’s revival of Into the Woods for Shakespeare in the Park.
I have long been chary about making definitive on-the-spot political judgments (You know the type—“that sentence cost him Colorado.”) But this week in Charlotte, I have tried to be more resolute than usual in resisting the journalistic temptation to play armchair political strategist. The reason: I have been pondering one of the most provocative pieces on campaign reporting in this political cycle.
In last Sunday’s New York Times, Sasha Issenberg—the author of The Victory Lab, a soon-to-published book on 21st century political technology—argued that horse-race journalists are themselves lost in the woods when it comes to grasping how presidential campaigns are waged. Issenberg’s case, in a nutshell, is that over the past decade campaigns have developed new frameworks to understand how voters decide and new techniques to influence those decisions, and that reporters misunderstand or are ill-informed about these changes. He likened me and my colleagues in the clueless press pack to food writers who “remained oblivious to a generation’s worth of new chefs’ tools and techniques and persisted in describing every dish that came out of the kitchen as either ‘grilled’ or ‘broiled.’”
Issenberg contends that campaigns have been so adept at harnessing the latest research in social science—particularly behavioral psychology and statistical modeling—that most reporters trying to cover the horse race are akin to college history majors who suddenly find themselves in an advanced physics class. Up until about the 2000 campaign, he argues, reporters were pretty adept at keeping up with the last twists in polling, focus groups, and dial groups. But since then, the attempt to understand and explain the horse race elements of politics at the highest level has become unequal combat.
(This is, of course, the moment to disclose that I have had occasional lunches with Issenberg and have even—call the ethics police—wished the author good luck with The Victory Lab, although I have not read a pre-publication copy.)
The discussion reminds me of my all-too-brief stint as Time magazine’s baseball writer in the early 1990s. On the political beat, I was used to interviewing political operatives who knew a few campaign secrets (like the latest poll numbers), but whose understanding of the electoral process was analogous to mine. But in a baseball locker room, I was suddenly interviewing 23-year-old backup shortstops who had never read a book in their lives, but who understood the game on the field in a way that I could never fathom. I couldn’t even frame knowledgeable questions.
It didn’t matter that I knew the history of Merkle’s Boner or was an early follower of Bill James, the baseball stats revolutionary. What counted was not a fan’s pedantry but an athlete’s grasp of the diamond-hard realities of life between the foul lines. I had left politics, where I had already picked up 90 percent of what a smart campaign manager knew, and entered a universe where, if I were lucky, I could comprehend 15 percent of what the dumbest guy on the field instinctively understood.
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See, it doesn't matter a whit what your opinion of the speech was. What matters far more to the people to whom he speaking, is what they were listening for and what they heard. President Obama was speaking to me, and I heard. I heard that he promised not to repeal the mortgage deduction in his tax reform. I heard him promise that reducing Social Security and Medicare benefits received is not in his plans for Medicare reform. I heard a lot about national security, and not enough about civil liberties. Just to take a few examples.
Your problem is that you live in a bubble populated by fellow journos and pols. And they have their own way of gauging a speech. But I am well aware that you beltway types and hangers on are basically in the top ten percent of earners -- even beltway print journos make 6 figures. And you talk among yourselves and not to people like me. And you all agree that what was important was whether the speech was pedestrian, as if anyone cared about your opinion. In fact, it was an important speech, in that it laid out the plan an approach for the next four years. And it wasn't a long stream of bald-faced lies and egregious distortions of the truth that we heard *last* week.
As far as I'm concerned, all 15,000 of you might was well have stayed home and found something better to do. Because the thing was broadcast, sas blowdried nitwits, live in its entirety. Nobody really needed your take about how pedestrian the speech was. Just because you can write that down and have a platform to publish it on, doesn't mean that it is worth a plugged nickel.
Just to bring you down to reality for a little while. It isn't personal.
#1 Posted by James, CJR on Fri 7 Sep 2012 at 02:11 PM
More:
In the spirit of constructive criticism, so that you can improve your reporting skills next time out, consider the following:
1) Where did you get that characterization "pedestrian"? The earliest characterization that I can find was from Daily Beast -- though I'm sure that your aren't following the pack according to Tomasky. Now it is virtually ubiquitous around the web. It would be interesting to see how that entirely inaccurate characterization became, overnight, the consensus characterization of the Beltway Id. I suspect it came from Politico, as most CW does, or from Chuck Todd. It would be an interesting study, if only I had access to Nexis Lexis.
2) For a much better recap on the speech that your admittedly humble effort, here's is one that is actually useful to readers, as opposed to proving that you are One With the Beltway Pack:
Obama’s Top Three Goals For A Second Term | TPM2012 You don't have to pay attention to TPM's liberal bias; I'd ask you to notice the lack of irrelevant characterization in favor of useful information.
3) You may have been bored to tears by the speech, but evidently real people took a lot of interest in it. It set a Twitter record in real time. Please reflect on that for a moment. How remote and removed you might be from what actually mattered in the speech, and whether it achieved the goals that it was designed to achieve. (Source: Obama's speech sets new Twitter record | PopWatch | EW.com
This is why Yahoo! has been a huge, huge disappointment in its expansion of its news department. Feckless, conventional, inane. Rather than trying some innovative and ground-breaking news coverage, it resorts to repeating every shred of conventional wisdom as set out by Politico, larded by light and fluffy flying squirrel stuff. Huffington Post already has that demographic sewed up.
Just saying.
#2 Posted by James, CJR on Fri 7 Sep 2012 at 03:04 PM
I am the author of this article. A few things in response to the comments:
The lede to this article was written in my hotel room at 6:30 this morning. I did not watch seven cable news shows, canvass 13 reporters and check out Politico to see what the party line was. Instead, I chose the word "pedestrian" because that was what jumped into my mind when I was writing that sentence. I could have used "hum-drum" or "boilerplate."
The point of this CJR column was not to give a critique of the speech. Rather I used the speech as a framework for a column on political reporting -- and played up my reluctance to pass definitive judgments on the political reaction to the speech until i see the polls early next week. As I made clear in the article, mine was an aesthetic judgment and not a political prediction.
People who have not heard Obama in a long time may have found uplift in his remarks. I don't doubt the validity of their experience any more than someone should think that my reaction to the speech was based on some political agenda or some need to play inside-the-bubble journalism. Reasonable people differ.
Two weeks ago, I wrote a column for CJR defending convention coverage. My argument was that it is the interviews and conversations with political figures from around the country that create the journalistic validity for going to Tampa and Charlotte. If you're curious, here is a link:
http://www.cjr.org/swing_states_project/in_defense_of_convention_cover.php
Finally, people who follow Twitter closely are not a cross-section of the electorate. They trend younger, for example. While counting tweets may measure "buzz," it is not the equivalent of a poll or anything like it.
And to everyone, thanks for reading.
#3 Posted by Walter Shapiro, CJR on Fri 7 Sep 2012 at 04:26 PM
I would be hard-pressed to top James' assessment, although I'd like to think I would be a little gentler towards Mr. Shapiro, who I'm sure is a nice man, appreciated by his family and loved by his dog. I would be a lot harsher than James was with regards to the changes in the Yahoo "news" pages. I'm not sure what target audience they're hoping to attract, since the minor-league Cinemax soft-core photo stuff is already well-covered by numerous outlets, and the AP-style "Politico, Jr." (or "Daily Beast, Sr.", perhaps) fluff is better got from the august 'pages' of Politico itself. Anyone who wants information would avoid Yahoo 'News' as if it was a dead carp, and anyone who has a partisan interest in anything political would regard it as hopelessly inane. That leaves, what - a couple thousand 9th-graders trying to short-change their social studies homework, and most of the editorial staff of the Washington Post. That hardly seems enough to support an online presence.
#4 Posted by JohnR, CJR on Fri 7 Sep 2012 at 04:39 PM
Mr. Shapiro,
Thank you for your comment. I was perhaps a little bit harsh in my assessment.
Still, I find it quite amazing that the curious word "pedestrian" has sprung, independently, to each beltway political journalists' mind to become the conventional wisdom, using the same word, overnight. I realize that you probably think you thought of it independently, which amplifies my point about the beltway hive mind. I think it would be an interesting exercise to trace minute by minute how the word "pedestrian" became conventional beltway wisdom. It would illustrate exactly who the drivers of the discourse really are. I know that word was in a memo put out by the GOP, but what I don't know is which came first: Did the one-word assessment originate at Daily Beast, or are all of you simultaneously merely copying and pasting yet another rightwing distributed memo having no original thoughts of your own? (Note here I am not accusing you of political bias, but of poor journalism.)
As for the twitter thing, being a research scientist in real life, I am well aware that the twitter stream is not representative of the general population. Nor did I claim it was. I think it does, however, indicate the high degree of interest among "connected" political junkies. And in fact, the interest in the speech was high, and the conversation afterward went more to substance than what you and your fellow bored and cynical colleagues think. In fact, the immediate reception to the speech among interested non-journalists was quite positive.
I point this out because political journalism sucks. Because you phone in a frivolous, cool and aloof sounding assessment when people -- your readers -- are desperate for information. It is NOT information that the speech was "pedestrian." Political journalists suffer from a deep, sickly cynicism. When did you and your colleagues forget that your readers read your work to gain information?
And if you think that I haven't heard President Obama speak for awhile, why would any of you believe that the most important thing you can tell me is that in your opinion the speech sucked? If you believe that I haven't heard the president speak for awhile, isn't your job to tell me what he said and leave the characterizations for the water cooler?
And yes. I will echo JohnR's complaint about Yahoo News. You have hired a number of stellar young journalists who now have free reign to post snarky, gossipy fluff that is essentially rewarmed Politico and Morning Joe stuff. Where are the editors? Don't they care about quality journalism?
#5 Posted by James, CJR on Fri 7 Sep 2012 at 07:30 PM
"I heard him promise that reducing Social Security and Medicare benefits received is not in his plans for Medicare reform."
That's not what I heard. What I heard was "I’m still eager to reach an agreement based on the principles of my bipartisan debt commission."
Let's not fool ourselves. This big fight is to keep a white house from becoming another property of Larry the Liquidator.
The next big fight is to keep what's left of the new deal, no matter who wins.
#6 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Fri 7 Sep 2012 at 09:45 PM
You probably missed that part, and you wouldn't have heard about it from journos like Mr. Shapiro, who immediately formed the opinion that the speech was "pedestrian" thereby relieving him of the obligation of reviewing the speech and reporting and explaining anything to his readers. And of course, it is a critical issue for millions of people.
There are other transcripts available, but dKos makes all transcripts available in one place as soon as they are available. What a service that is! Wonder why Yahoo can't do that? Hmmm? Daily Kos: President Barack Obama's remarks as prepared for delivery, Democratic National Convention#7 Posted by James, CJR on Fri 7 Sep 2012 at 11:37 PM
Aha! Mystery solved! Mr. Shapiro actually did get that "pedestrian" assessment from Tomasky. I guess he really is steeped in the beltway hive mind and can't formulate thoughts and descriptions on his own.
Twitter / waltershapiroPD: @mtomasky @thedailybeast I ...
He probably doesn't even realize that he cloned Tomasky's thoughts.
Of course, neither one of them could trouble themselves to point out any substantive point that might have been "pedestrian." Nor could they trouble themselves to actually tell their readers what the president had to say. For that, we had to watch CSPAN and go to the transcript. They may as well have all stayed home, yes? These are journalists without any value whatsoever to their readers. They are merely writing to impress their peers. And for this, they make six figure salaries.
#8 Posted by James, CJR on Sat 8 Sep 2012 at 12:29 AM
"And I will never turn Medicare into a voucher. No American should ever have to spend their golden years at the mercy of insurance companies."
Yeh, that's been the republican plan for the new deal since Goldwater and Reagan:
http://www.americanthinker.com/2005/04/reagans_vision_for_social_secu.html
Vouchers and private accounts for the people.
"Yes, we will reform and strengthen Medicare for the long haul, but we’ll do it by reducing the cost of health care – not by asking seniors to pay thousands of dollars more. And we will keep the promise of Social Security by taking the responsible steps to strengthen it – not by turning it over to Wall Street."
Obama is a hard core centrist. What do centrists mean when they talk about strengthening the new deal?
Raising revenue and cutting expenses. Small tax increases - large accumulative benefit cuts and raised eligibility requirements. This is the Grand Bargain.
This:
http://news.firedoglake.com/2012/03/19/grand-bargain-history-due-to-repeat-with-fiscal-cliff-at-end-of-the-year/
is what we will have to watch for after the election. Do not be fooled here. I'd love it if I could take Obama at his perceived word and trust him to find a better more progressive position, but he's put these programs on the table too many times, let criminal bankers go too many times, traded away features to health care like the public option too many times, sacrificed the economy / inequality over a focus on austerity too many times... I would love to trust him to do the right thing, but too many times he hasn't. Too many times the Tim Geinthners and Pete Petersons of the world have had hold of his ear.
So what am I saying? Is Obama the better candidate? YES.
Are the democrats the better party? YES.
Is this election an important act? YES.
But does that mean we can trust the people we vote for based on promises and perceptions within their speeches? NO.
If you are fighting for Obama, you're doing it wrong. Obama is not a cause. He is a person, flawed as any of us.
You should be fighting for ideas, some of which have been expressed well by Obama in the past, but the ideas are bigger than Obama. We should be fighting for pure, transparent financial markets, good jobs from good employers, energy policy that penalizes polluters and rewards clean and renewable production, the preservation of generous new deal programs that will allow people to live and retire in a timely and dignified fashion.
These are the things democrats must stand for, independent of Barack Obama. And these are the things we must fight for, alas, even if our opponent is Barack Obama.
Be aware, there is a fight coming.
#9 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Sat 8 Sep 2012 at 02:50 AM
And here are some of the things you need to know about in order to win the battle:
http://prosperityforamerica.org/read-the-report.php
http://cpc.grijalva.house.gov/the-peoples-budget/
There is more than one way to do things in Washington. The spectrum of possibility does not lie between Pete Peterson / the Hamilton Project and Paul Ryan.
But that is how Obama and the centrists think. The work we have ahead will be in changing their minds.
#10 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Sat 8 Sep 2012 at 03:09 AM
You write: "Romney’s appearance on Meet the Press this Sunday may not deliver a single vote along the I-4 corridor between Tampa and Orlando, but it might well give us clues about how the GOP nominee would govern from the Oval Office." Love to know one single piece of Obama's WH behavior predicted by any pre-election Sunday-morning yakfests. This sort of observation serves only to make those in the DC-NY media-political axis feel slightly less irrelevant.
#11 Posted by Harry Shearer, CJR on Sat 8 Sep 2012 at 10:04 AM
The estimable James Fallows wrote quite a nice piece on the speech -- he also is a former speech writer and media critic and always posts a good-humored, thoughtful critique of major speeches. Three Quick Points on Obama's Speech - James Fallows - The Atlantic Do me a favor and read Fallow's piece and his followup, which includes some thoughts and reactions from his readers. Fallows didn't attend the conventions in person.
Contrast that with this formulaic, boilerplate piece of crap that Shapiro wrote. The 2012 political conventions were unworthy of an important election - Yahoo! News Nothing new there, just regurgitation of the same crap that instantly sprang from the beltway hive mind, dyspeptic, mean-spirited High Broderism. Nothing that Tomasky and others didn't already say. Nothing original, insightful, nothing whatsoever that wasn't written about every other convention in the past 3 decades. Nothing at all useful whatsoever to his readers.
The original question was this. After covering nine conventions, was there any value in this digital day and age to be had by Mr. Shapiro attending the convention in person, as opposed to staying home and watching it on CSPAN in his easy chair with a bottle of bourbon and foie de gras canapes at his fingertips.
I think the answer is clear. No.
#12 Posted by James, CJR on Sat 8 Sep 2012 at 10:24 AM
Here's a take on the speech that I agree with:
http://www.esquire.com/_mobile/blogs/politics/obama-convention-speech-2012-12454673
#13 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Sat 8 Sep 2012 at 12:46 PM
Yeah, ole Pierce can really rev it up, can't he? At least he had something original to say, something relevant to the occasion. At least he cited lines and specifics, and told us in no uncertain terms what he thought about what was there and what wasn't.
My critique goes more to the journalism failures though.
Contrast Pierce with Mr. Shapiro's regurgitation of the sum total of all speeches for the last nine conventions, larded heavily with thoughts kyped from Tomasky, whoever he is. There wasn't an original thought, not a shred of insight in the whole piece of crap. We've read that very same slice of High Broderism every four years since Broder came of age. Dainty pearl clutching and handwringing about the dirty, frustrating work of self-government. And they are never held accountable for getting it wrong. I'll bet the columnist was an avid and enthusiastic Iraq war supporter. And yet he still has a paying job. Go figure.
... Most of the good speeches were missed by the lazy, bored, pathologically cynical press. Particularly moving was John Lewis's speech. The act of voting is almost sacred. Don't let them take it away from you. You will never hear about that from the High Broderists.
#14 Posted by James, CJR on Sat 8 Sep 2012 at 01:36 PM
"And they are never held accountable for getting it wrong. I'll bet the columnist was an avid and enthusiastic Iraq war supporter."
You're mostly right on this, unfortunately:
http://www.usatoday.com/news/opinion/columnist/shapiro/2002-12-19-hype_x.htm
And though there's a lot of washington journalists meriting critique, Tomasky has been quite good as of late - above and ahead of the majority of his colleagues, for example:
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/08/13/michael-tomasky-on-how-the-gop-plans-to-block-the-black-vote.html
cont..
#15 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Sat 8 Sep 2012 at 03:44 PM
The problem with Obama and this speech is that he was a figure of endless potential when he was a candidate, hell, the guy was given a nobel prize based on the potential to be transformative.
4 years has given us a record upon which he is defined. He has not sailed above his weaknesses. The condition of the country now is not one that historically rewards the incumbent. The saving grace Obama has got is that people still remember where the country was when he took over and who put it there.
That does not mean they are happy with "the new normal" as a Obama supporter once put it.
The message of hope and change has been tested by 4 years of being president and the discovery, as David Roberts put it, that American political culture is driven by norms, not rules. That challenges would not be faced by the body of government united by the common purpose of the restoration of American prosperity. That people would look at American dysfunction and seek to punish the one in charge, not the ones responsible.
"Eight years later, that hope has been tested by the cost of war, by one of the worst economic crises in history, and by political gridlock that’s left us wondering whether it’s still even possible to tackle the challenges of our time.
Obama could not peak to the people in soaring language of what is possible when 4 years have shown that possibility is a narrow road. The speech was an attempt to acknowledge that reality because, left unacknowledged, soaring words would fall to the ground empty of meaning.
Walt's problem is that he assumes this means he is missing something - that the micro-calculations of the political speechwriters mean that this speech, sounding flat to him, was maybe not meant for him.
But it was. It was specifically meant for the person who said:
http://www.waltershapiro.com/3610/pundits-and-politicians-vie-for-know-it-all-status
"In 21st-century America, no virtue is more discredited than intellectual humility...
All politicians, Republicans and Democrats alike, obey the dictates of our sound-bite culture. There is little tolerance for hemming and hawing or yes-but-on-the-other-hand answers. The rules for public discourse are inflexible: Don't go on TV or respond to a reporter's question unless you have worked out your talking points. As a result, we are endlessly subjected to over-rehearsed arguments...
The problem is that we have arrived at a moment in history that demands boldly re-examining the premises of liberals and conservatives alike...
Of course, no one will ever make their mark in politics or punditry by being an apostle of humility. But while a swagger of smug certainty plays well on television, prudence might argue for an open mind and the occasional flicker of doubt."
Yes, perhaps our "moment of history" calls for open minds and flickers of doubt, but the political press does not. They expect a figure who stands tall in speech, not a figure who falls to his knees like an apostle of humility.
I guess in that respect, Obama failed to deliver.
#16 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Sat 8 Sep 2012 at 04:23 PM
Take em on, Bernie!
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mobileweb/rj-eskow/six-degrees-of-social-sec_b_1863503.html
"President Obama and Vice President Biden both gave powerful speeches this evening, summoning the ideal of an inclusive nation and effectively distinguishing their mainstream American views from their opponents' radical right-wing vision. The only real false notes were the passages in which they both embraced a right-wing set of proposals known as "Simpson Bowles."
That means they were embracing a plan which would cut Social Security benefits and raise its retirement age. It also means they were embracing the ideology of a small network of well-funded individuals who are determined to take our country down the austerity path that is destroying Europe - and who may be personally antagonistic toward the President as well...
Somehow the Peterson crowd thought that it would electrify the nation to see Walker, a former Comptroller General, ride around on a converted Greyhound (or whatever vehicle they've purchased) with other aging anti-government types. As part of that initiative, Walker co-authored an op-ed with Ross Perot -- for the youth of America that must have been like getting Andre 3000 back together with Big Boi -- and that's when the fun began.
Sen. Bernie Sanders fired back with a letter to the editor which said, among other things, that the bus tour "is funded almost entirely by Wall Street billionaire Pete Peterson, who has pledged to spend $1 billion of his fortune on a campaign to cut Social Security and other vitally important programs while slashing tax rates for the wealthy and large corporations.""
Give these guys hell!
#17 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Sat 8 Sep 2012 at 09:10 PM
"...the hard and frustrating and necessary work of self-government."
O really is clueless, isn't he? As if anyone's job isn't hard and frustrating at times? It's all about me, me, me - pity poor BHO, who has to deal with those nasty people who actually dare to have a different opinion about governance.
At least Bernie is honest and admits he's a socialist.
#18 Posted by JLD, CJR on Sun 9 Sep 2012 at 08:14 AM
George Bush, the guy who spent, in Crawford, 319 days, "roughly 20 percent of his presidency to date, according to Mark Knoller, a CBS Radio reporter known for keeping better records of the president's travel than the White House itself. Weekends and holidays at Camp David or at his parents' compound in Kennebunkport, Maine, bump up the proportion of Bush's time away from Washington even further."
and was, you guessed it, on vacation when people were being briefed about the upcoming September 11th attacks.
and left the incoming president with a 1.4 trillion dollar deficit, two war, balance sheet recession mess that will take a generation to clean up...
He used the phrase "hard work" 11 fricken times during the debates with John Kerry.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/debatereferee/debate_0930.html
Dear Republicans,
Please STFU.
Signed the rest of the rational world.
#19 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Sun 9 Sep 2012 at 02:45 PM
Oh, I forget to mention.. the 'hard work president'? That 319 day figure was half way through the presidency. 490 was the total by the end.
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-4728085-503544.html
Let's not talk about past history though. Let's talk about present circumstance, such as the recent review by Jacob Hacker - author of the Prosperity for America document linked above - and Paul Pierson - Hacker's co-author on 'Winner take all Politics' - of the recent works of Krugman and Stiglitz:
http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2012/sep/27/what-krugman-stiglitz-can-tell-us/
"[Krugman] laments what he sees as the growing insulation of America’s economic and political elite from the struggles of ordinary Americans. “For middle-income families, even before the crisis,” he writes,
there was only a modest rise in income under deregulation, achieved mainly through longer work hours rather than higher wages...
In this indictment, Krugman is joined by another Nobel laureate economist, Joseph Stiglitz, whose claims are much more sweeping than his. In an argument that dovetails with those of Occupy Wall Street protesters, Stiglitz insists that the huge and growing divide between the richest 1 percent and “the 99 percent” is not just one concern among many, but the defining characteristic of a thoroughly sick economy. We may be the richest nation in the world, but poverty is higher and social mobility between generations lower than in other rich nations. In other respects, our model is bloated: we release far more carbon dioxide and use far more water on a per capita basis; and we spend far more on health care, while leaving tens of millions uninsured and achieving health outcomes that are mediocre at best.
The reason, according to Stiglitz, is that the vaunted American market is broken. And the reason for that, he argues, is that our economy is being overwhelmed by politically engineered market advantages—special deals that Stiglitz labels with a term familiar to economists: “rent-seeking.”..
While the shifting balance of money and organization has encouraged Republicans to become sharply more conservative, it has created conflicting incentives for Democrats. Still reliant on their traditional but declining base within organized labor, they have nonetheless sought—with increasing success at least until recently—to develop pockets of financial support within sympathetic corporate quarters... [U]nlike the GOP, where moderates have essentially vanished, some important groups of Democratic politicians self-consciously describe themselves as centrists (usually, they are also the ones most actively seeking business support). The result for Democrats has been an awkward dance between tepid populism and compromised centrism that has frequently divided the party and muddled its message...
Nowhere are the effects of unequal power clearer than in the shifting commitment of elites to limited government and deficit reduction. When many of today’s loudest deficit hawks had the opportunity a decade ago, they repeatedly chose policies that worsened the deficit in order to lavish benefits on the wealthy and powerful business interests...
During the last round of intense fighting over the deficit, in the mid-1990s, then House Majority Leader Dick Armey confessed:
Balancing the budget…is the attention-getting device that enables me to reduce the size of government. Because the national concern over the deficit is larger than life…. So I take what I can get and focus it on the job I want. If you’re anxious about the deficit, then let me use your anxiety to cut the size of government."
Give the full thing a read, then we can talk about "the hard and frustrating and ne
#20 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Sun 9 Sep 2012 at 03:15 PM
... then we can talk about "the hard and frustrating and necessary work of self-government."
Argh. The hard and frustrating and necessary word filter bit me again.
On the subject of the Dick Armey quote and the Bowles Simpson commission everybody supposedly supports, take a look at this post about how the Democratic Party became the water carriers of the "starve the beast" conservatives and how its creating real costs to the economy.
Meanwhile, Romney's running ads about how he's not going to cut a red penny from the military.
Le sigh.
#21 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Sun 9 Sep 2012 at 03:24 PM
"On the subject of the Dick Armey quote and the Bowles Simpson commission everybody supposedly supports, take a look at this post:"
The link I meant to post.
http://coreyrobin.com/2012/08/30/were-going-to-tax-their-ass-off/
What the distraction of family will do to a post. And on that note...
Everybody have a nice Sunday. Ciao.
#22 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Sun 9 Sep 2012 at 03:31 PM
Thimbles, O deserves exactly the same respect and consideration that you gave Bush - i.e. none whatsoever.
Nice to hear you have a family. You should spend more time with them.
#23 Posted by JLD, CJR on Sun 9 Sep 2012 at 04:32 PM
I think one might get a clue about the effectiveness of the new campaign "technologies" from the success of similar ones in advertising, the social media, etc. I am skeptical they are as effective as claimed, because all of them overestimate how much attention people pay to them, and how quickly people tune out once they know they are being sold something they may not want.. (And I wish a political historian would tell me whether the precinct captains of the Kelly and Daley machines in Chicago, and their Tammany equivalents used similar targeting techniques,) Last but not least, how important is the ground game - and how important is it that the people who play it are neighbors rather than those brought in from outside by the campaign professionals.
#24 Posted by Herbert J Gans, CJR on Sun 9 Sep 2012 at 06:28 PM
"Thimbles, O deserves exactly the same respect and consideration that you gave Bush - i.e. none whatsoever."
Not quite. I have serious problems with Obama, as detailed here and in many pages on this site, but the condition of the country Bush was left and the condition of the country Bush left the country in are worlds apart.
The democrats are corporate owned, serve the interests of the rich, and sell out the interests of the poor WAAAAAY too often. But they do have the advantage of being pretty rational and somewhat competent ('GM is alive and OBL is dead' and all that).
Republicans are proven corrupt incompetents who have belief systems based on known and well documented falsehoods. Therefore they have an inescapable tendency to do terrible and stupid things when they are granted power.
So yeah, Obama isn't perfect, but he deserves a little more respect then the guy who left a drowning city in the charge of an Arabian horse commissioner while putting college republicans in charge of the occupied middle east, while giving billions to Pakistan so they could become the staging ground for the Taliban group they nurtured in the 80's while Osama Bin Laden cooled off in a villa down a few doors from Abdul Qadeer Khan.
Those are the kind of f'kups that cost thousands of lives because some frat boy couldn't be bothered to do the job right. You guys got him elected. Some contriteness is in order.
"Nice to hear you have a family. You should spend more time with them."
Working on that. Ciao.
#25 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Sun 9 Sep 2012 at 08:35 PM
I am the author of this article -- and, for better or worse,I am delighted it has spawned so much controversy.
Let me just try to respond to a few comments and critiques:
To Herbert Gans: I have not yet read the Sasha Issenberg book. It is indeed quite possible that he is overstating the transformative effects of new technology and that these supposed breakthroughs will prove evanescent. I am old enough to remember when dial groups were cutting-edge technology that was supposed to test every word uttered by candidates in a campaign. A good ward heeler, as you point out, didn't need no stinking algorithms to do micro-targeting.
To Harry Shearer: The "Meet the Press" example was just an effort to put a little timeliness in my piece. Believe it or not, I do not worship at the shrine of David Gregory or any of the other Sunday hosts. I was just looking for a topical way to say that candidate interviews sometimes are revealing.
To Thimbles: Congratulations. You found the column during the run-up to the Iraq War that I regret the most. The bulk of my columns during that period were skeptical of the Bush administration's claims, especially about the existence of weapons of mass destruction. In this case, I was responding on very tight newspaper deadlines to the evidence that Colin Powell presented at the United Nations. I didn't know then (and could not have verified in the few hours that I had to write) that Powell had been lied to by Cheney and Company. Maybe I was naive to buy into the cult of Colin Powell, Iraq War skeptic. So nearly 10 years later, let me apologize for that column.
Thank you all for your provocative comments -- even if sometimes they were stinging.
#26 Posted by Walter Shapiro, CJR on Sun 9 Sep 2012 at 10:34 PM
"Congratulations. You found the column during the run-up to the Iraq War that I regret the most."
Just so you know, I wasn't looking for a prize, nor was I looking to embarrass anyone, but this is a serious problem with the journalism profession - words in haste spoken from a public bull horn have large public consequences. The deadlines and pressures of this business make journalists risk averse and shallow in knowledge - and this is not a critique I'm throwing at you, because hey the guys on tv have been much worse - but the consequences of being rushed and being unprepared to put statements to question had serious ramifications for several countries in our recent history. Lives lost and destroyed, trillions wasted, and evil enabled. Unfortunately, when you talk to journalists about this, they often find fault with the mirror you're holding up to the industry instead of the industry. Nobody wants to be responsible for lives lost, trillions wasted, yadda yadda even if it's only partially as a small voice in a large mind set.
So back in March 2003, there were deadlines and information that could not be verified and a strong consensus and therefore what real choice did you have? You have regrets, mistakes were made, and it's not like you could have chosen different at the time. Right?
Wrong.
http://www.thenation.com/article/house-cards
Robert Scheer had the same time budget and access to the same information as any journalist worth the title, but he was one of the few in America who published what was discernibly true. Why?
Because he was not risk adverse, because he chose to acquire a deep enough knowledge to challenge group preconceptions, and because he took his duty to speak the truth as best ye know it to his people seriously.
Because words in haste which are spoken to the public can have large and terrible public consequences.
And in Robert Scheer's case, the words he spoke boldly had large private consequences. He lost his Latimes column and had to reinvent himself as the founder of an Internet journalism outlet as Jonah 'liberals are smiley faced nazis' Goldberg assumed his space.
But there is no blood on Robert's hands.
I say this not to injure or hurt, but to improve the craft. We can choose to be an established voice or we can choose to be a voice in the wilderness. The benefit to being an established voice is that your career will be long and your list of contacts large. Mistakes will be made, but the beauty of being part of a chorus is that no one voice stands out as responsible. The security that comes in numbers, both in colleagues and in a regular payment schedule, has its attractions, no doubt.
But the voices that matter come from the wilderness. Unfortunately, due to what they say and do, they are often returned to the wilderness, but that is beside the point. The point is to speak the truth as best ye know it, a challenge that forces us to seek it out and attempt to better grasp its meaning every moment we breathe. Because it is such a bloody serious thing, this ability we have to speak to the public. To exercise it is to accept a very sacred trust, that we who speak know what we're talking about because we've done the work necessary.
And it is a betrayal to the public when the journalist's reality is allowed to stray so far from its ideal.
#27 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Mon 10 Sep 2012 at 03:39 AM