In mid-August, when Paul Ryan burst on the scene with his voucher scheme for Medicare, the 47-year old program suddenly became hot news. Until then, the media had paid scant attention to Medicare, except in the fall when they served up some “how-to” stories for choosing new Medicare Advantage plans. This time it was different. Ryan’s plans for transforming Medicare from social insurance into a private system thrust Medicare policy into sharp focus, for the public and the press.
On the political side, it looked like Medicare might be a winning issue for the Democrats for a while. Their pollsters advised them to talk about it. NPR even reported that the GOP was taking a “risk that Ryan may turn off an important voting bloc: senior citizens.” Indeed, polls showed that seniors didn’t like the idea of vouchers, a theme we picked up in our CJR Town Halls. One Missouri woman told us that Ryan “wants to do away with what we know Medicare to be. I’m not in favor of it at all.”
But then came October. A few days before the election, a Reuters /Ipsos poll discovered that voters over age 50 continued to prefer Mitt Romney, and liked his position on healthcare and Medicare better than Obama’s. Voters 65 and older “leaned heavily toward Romney throughout the campaign,” reported Politico, while The Hill concluded that Medicare, “once seen as the most potent weapon in House Democrats’ campaign arsenal, is turning out to be a dud.”
Which is fine, if the public fully understands the issues. But it is not clear at all that it did, or that the press helped.
Did the media muddy the public’s thinking about the program? Drew Altman, head of the Kaiser Family Foundation, answered that question with another question: Is the point of media coverage “to cover, inform, or educate?” Altman’s frame offers a useful X-ray for examining how the press performed and how, in the coming weeks, it might perform as Medicare (and its cousin, Medicaid) gets snarled in the coming debate over the fiscal cliff.
The press did cover the two central issues swirling around Medicare throughout the campaign—the idea of a voucher plan, supported by Romney and Ryan, and the question of whose plan really cut Medicare. Did Obama cut $716 billion from the program, as the GOP charged day after day? Or would Republicans cut it with their voucher arrangement, which would make beneficiaries pay some $6,000 more each year for their healthcare instead of the federal government picking up the tab, according to a study by the Congressional Budget Office.
Many press stories addressed those two claims. But they did so from a position so close that you couldn’t see the forest for the trees. Nobody seemed to step back and say what Medicare is, who gets it and how it works. Nobody explained that it is social insurance—one giant risk pool, in which everybody gets the same benefits—in which an 86-year old with heart and hip problems generally pays the same as a 66-year old brimming with health.
Reporting on Medicare has been different from Social Security coverage, which, as we wrote in April has been shaped by the elite media, which in turn has often climbed on board the train with deficit hawks, who are hawks are eager to cut the program in the name of fiscal austerity. When it came to Medicare, there was no organization like the Peter G. Peterson Foundation and others that Peterson or his foundation funded to spread his austerity message far and wide, and try to bring the press and policymakers along.
With Medicare, the media seemed freer to examine competing claims.Yet they tended to do that in their customary “balanced” fashion, with lots of he said/she said quotes, which often confused audiences more than it informed. When it came to vouchers, the media readily paired representatives of the Heritage Foundation—which introduced the press to the concept in the mid-1990s, and pushed hard for vouchers at the time—with spokespeople for groups that were more skeptical, thus fulfilling their goal of balance and equivalency, although sometimes a false equivalency.
I am surprised that anyone doing media analysis for CJR continues to use a loaded, biased and essentially meaningless term like "elite media." Are you referring to the NYT and WSJ? Is the LA Times elite or just "special?" It's a lazy grouping with no real definition. It also carries with it tremendous political baggage since it is used primarily by right-wing broadcasters like Glenn Beck and Rush Limbaugh to encompass any media outlet that criticizes or disagrees with Republican and Tea Party positions. It's a grossly generalized and derogatory term and should not be used on a supposedly "fair and balanced" media site w/o reference to that context.
#1 Posted by Jassa Skott, CJR on Thu 15 Nov 2012 at 04:53 PM
Good piece by Trudy. I think Mitt Romney and the Republicans successfully obscured the dramatic impact of their Medicare voucher plan by pushing the bogus message that President Obama and the Dems had cut $716 billion from Medicare benefits. It's very very easy to demagogue Medicare and health care issues because most Americans simply don't understand this stuff, unfortunately. Some in the media tried gamely to explain this but when politicians engage in this dangerous and irresponsible game, it's hard to fix the damage.
That said, I don't think the media did a good job laying out the implications of the GOP voucher plan, how it would affect beneficiaries' out of pocket costs, and how it would drive traditional Medicare into a death spiral. The problem is that explaining this would require media folks to engage in extrapolation, analysis, and educated speculation about the likely effects. And most reporters are either loathe to do that or else not well-informed enough to do it. Especially when the Republicans refused to provide details of their proposal.
Media folks mostly also refused to look at the big picture, that Republicans have been hostile to Medicare from the beginning and see the voucher approach as a way to phase out the social insurance foundation of the program and turn it into a means-tested, privatized welfare program which would have shrinking political support. Reporters and pundits refused to recognize that since the Republicans were looking to Medicare for big budget savings, the only way they could do that would be to squeeze the voucher payments and force beneficiaries to pay more and more out of pocket, even under the newer Ryan version of vouchers. The media were simply unwilling to put two and two together because they were terrified of being accused of liberal bias, hence they engaged in lots of false balance and false equivalence.
#2 Posted by Harris Meyer, CJR on Thu 15 Nov 2012 at 05:27 PM
"But then came October. A few days before the election, a Reuters /Ipsos poll discovered that voters over age 50 continued to prefer Mitt Romney, and liked his position on healthcare and Medicare better than Obama’s. Voters 65 and older “leaned heavily toward Romney throughout the campaign,” reported Politico, while The Hill concluded that Medicare, “once seen as the most potent weapon in House Democrats’ campaign arsenal, is turning out to be a dud.”"
It's instructive to go back to that time to see why the Obama people were finding that line a dud. Hint? Etch-a-sketch:
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/08/magazine/can-the-democrats-catch-up-in-the-super-pac-game.html?_r=3&pagewanted=5
"Burton and his colleagues spent the early months of 2012 trying out the pitch that Romney was the most far-right presidential candidate since Barry Goldwater. It fell flat. The public did not view Romney as an extremist. For example, when Priorities informed a focus group that Romney supported the Ryan budget plan — and thus championed “ending Medicare as we know it” — while also advocating tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans, the respondents simply refused to believe any politician would do such a thing. What became clear was that voters had almost no sense of Obama’s opponent. While conducting a different focus group — this one with non-college-educated Milwaukee voters on the eve of Wisconsin’s April 3 primary — Burton and Sweeney were surprised to learn that even after Romney had spent months campaigning, many in the group could not recognize his face, much less characterize his positions...
That left an opening for the Democrats to tell Romney’s story, and over the spring they figured out how to do so. Obama’s opponent was not an ideologue per se, the Priorities team decided, but instead someone who knows and cares only about wealthy Americans. Burton describes the distinction as “a top/bottom rather than left/right approach” — also known in Republican circles as class warfare.
The best explanatory tool for this narrative would prove to be Romney’s tenure at Bain Capital."
People were primed to believe Obamacare was socialism/facism/taking money out of medicare to give to the blah-s. They knew Obama was changing things, hell he ran on it, so the republicans simply defined that change as evil redistribution. People were willing to believe myths about Obama.
Mitt represented 'not change, everything reset to the way it was'. He was bringing the old country back. Therefore when voters were confronted with his radical policy ideas, they refused to believe. Moderate Mitt, the one seen in the first Obama debate who did not exist during the primaries, dominated public perception until the Obama people told the story Gingrich started.
Bain = Pain. 47%
That defined his character.
Legitimate rape.
That defined his party.
It's important to inform the public about policies and their impacts, but it's more important to define why people made those policies and who they are.
The republicans defined Obama, which made it easy to slander his policies believably.
Until the Obama team did the same to Romney, nobody believed them.
They rationalized it as "Mitt selling his base. The real Mitt is a moderate."
You can't just report the facts, facts alone aren't meaningful. You have to tell a story.
#3 Posted by Thimbles, CJR on Fri 16 Nov 2012 at 01:58 PM